yeah but the synching up of those two numbers is pretty amazingly coincidental. Sticking with your Topps theory, it was fairly rare to have a rookie in the first 100 cards, yet the VAST majority of players who play in the majors hit under 100 HR's (looked it up only 857 hit 100 or more out of almost 20,000 players) Once you get over #200 you're down to only 336 players #300 and your chances dip to only 141 players so really your odds for matching are much worse when you look into it a little more deeply.
I'll put my money where my mouth is. If you can find 5 Topps rookies before 1993 whose rookie card # matches their career HR total I'll pay $50. You said you guess a dozen, so 5 should be easy. Open to anyone who'd like to play.
Besides Reggie Smith of course.
Last edited by Aquarian Sports Cards; 11-17-2016 at 08:58 AM.
|