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NickEverybody can name players who shouldn't be in the HOF, but are, or sho should be, but are not. That's not the point. An objective view of the BBWAA's history indicates that people reaching 50% of the vote, almost without exception, do get elected, and from 2/3 of the vote, election is almost automatic the next year.
BTW, for much of Sutter's career, the single-season save record was 38, so that makes 40 a little high as a cutoff for a good year in the late '70s and early '80s.