I would guess that the pitcher's feat of a no-hitter has a MUCH higher impact on the outcome of the game than a hitter hitting for the cycle. So while the occurrence of the feats are similar in numbers, their significants differs greatly.
If I had to guess, probably 90-95% of the time, the team whose pitcher throws the no-hitter wins the game. I would guess the team whose hitter hits for the cycle is probably closer to 65-75%?????
How many times has a hitter hit 3 HRs in a game? I would think that would produce more runs for a team (than hitting for the cycle) and thus give the team better odds of winning the game.
Just a thought!
Rob