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Old 10-28-2018, 08:35 PM
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Raymond 'Robbie' Culpepper
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Location: Columbus, GA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mountaineer1999 View Post
Stolen straight from internet:

More runs are scored with 1 out than with 0 or 2 outs, though almost as many are scored with 2 outs. For example, in 2013, 3329 runs have scored with 0 outs, 5518 runs have scored with 1 out, and 5416 runs have scored with 2 outs. [1]

Here is the percentage breakdown for a few particular years [2], and you can see that the pattern is very consistent:
2013 - 23.3% with 0 outs, 38.7% with 1 out, 38.0% with 2 outs
2012 - 24.0%, 38.4%, 37.6%
2011 - 22.9%, 39.7%, 37.3%
2010 - 23.2%, 38.5%, 38.3%
2000 - 23.8%, 38.8%, 37.3%
1990 - 22.1%, 40.1%, 37.8%
1980 - 22.1%, 40.2%, 37.7%
1970 - 22.8%, 39.8%, 37.5%


I guess it's fairly easy to see that producing runs with one out is more probable than doing the same with two outs, just because you can score while making the second out, but not the third.


Every other major variable involves 1.) the planning and execution of pitches, swings (or takes) and the defense and 2.) proper use of available players.



Much less (IMO) involved are weather (most of the time), playing surface maintenance, Stadium design, adequate umpiring, and, of course, dumb luck.


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Last edited by clydepepper; 10-28-2018 at 08:36 PM.
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