Adrian Beltre
How likely is he to get 3000 hits and 500 HRs? At this point, I guess I'm just asking how likely do you think he is to get 500 HRs, as it's difficult to hit 75 home runs without getting at least 73 other base hits in the process.
Full disclosure: I have a Beltre card I'm planning to sell, so I hope he gets there, but really I am interested in his place in the history of the game. Is he a first ballot Hall of Famer? Or does he face more of a Blyleven-ish trudge up to eventual 75% support?
I have my own formula for ranking players and have him at #72 all-time (right between George Brett and Tom Glavine) if he retires today.
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