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Posted By: fkw

Pujols has averaged 40 HRs a year in his awesome 1st 5 years (201). He will have to average 40 HRs a year for next 14 years (at age 40) to even pass Aaron's 755. Im sure the record will be greater than 755 by then. Pujols is a long shot unless he starts putting up 50+ HR years soon.


A-Rod has averaged 39 HRs in 1st 11 seasons (429). He will have to average over 36+ in next 9 years (at age 40) to pass Aaron's 755. A-Rod has a better chance, especially if he leaves NY (not a righty friendly park).


Both of these guys need to start hitting HRs at least once every 10 ABs. Bonds has easily done it 5 years in a row (2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005). No one else has done it since Sosa in 2001.
Frank