Quote:
Originally Posted by frankbmd
This year starting pitchers may end up with less than 5 innings per start.
Quality starts require 6 innings I believe. To win a game, starters must complete 5 innings.
If current trends continue, quality starts will disappear completely.
Furthermore starters will always be able to lose a game, but will not be able to win a game.
Perhaps a rare twenty game winner will occur as a reliefer, but starters will have very few wins and will of necessity be evaluated on the base of their loss/start percentage (losses divided by games started).
This of course will lead to a new pitching metric for starters, LBR or losses below replacement. Alternative names for the new metric are possible. For example, the unsaved start would convey the same information, but I prefer LBR.
Ten years from now you can say that you heard it here first, before SABR, before
ESPN, before Elias etc
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Majestic
Looks like all these teams have multiple quality starts this season
Anaheim (6) .. Harvey (3) Cahill (2)
KC (9).. Keller (4) Bailey (2)
Cubs (11) .. Hamels (3), Quintana (3), Lester (2)
Nationals (13)... Corbin (5), Scherzer (3) Strasburg (3)
San Diego (6) Straham (2), Paddock (2)
Arizona (12) . Grienke (5) Kelly (3) Weaver (2)
|
I'm a futurist.
Not saying there aren't still quality starts now.
Just wait ten years, unless they change the definition so that one can get a quality start by pitching three innings.
The current trend, if continued, will mitigate against any pitcher facing the same batter twice in a single game. Pitch counts will become passe´.