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Posted By: cmoking

His streak right now is 36 games. He needs 20 more to tie Dimaggio.

Assumptions:
he's a true .310 hitter
He gets on average 4.5 at bats a game

the probability of him getting to 56 (20 more games) is 1.5%

the true odds are probably even lower because of all the pressure he'll be on from the media and himself.