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Old 04-29-2019, 07:13 PM
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frankbmd frankbmd is offline
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Default Good Bye : Quality Start, Starter Wins & 20G Winners

This year starting pitchers may end up with less than 5 innings per start.

Quality starts require 6 innings I believe. To win a game, starters must complete 5 innings.

If current trends continue, quality starts will disappear completely.

Furthermore starters will always be able to lose a game, but will not be able to win a game.

Perhaps a rare twenty game winner will occur as a reliefer, but starters will have very few wins and will of necessity be evaluated on the base of their loss/start percentage (losses divided by games started).

This of course will lead to a new pitching metric for starters, LBR or losses below replacement. Alternative names for the new metric are possible. For example, the unsaved start would convey the same information, but I prefer LBR.

Ten years from now you can say that you heard it here first, before SABR, before
ESPN, before Elias etc
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Now nearly PQ.

Last edited by frankbmd; 04-30-2019 at 08:29 AM.
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