someone explain the new card market?

[Peter_Spaeth]

Kid has 10 ABs in the bigs. This card isn't even rare, there are 150 of them. And it's a 9 not a 10.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/2016-BOWMAN...p2047675.l2557

[thatkidfromjerrymaguire]

My guess is that prospectors are trying to hit on the next 1952 Mantle now. If they're right, that's a good investment. But my best guess is that 99.9% of all these limited, numbered, superfractored, etc. cards are going to be worth far less than what people are paying today. Sort of like my 1986 Donruss Jose Canseco.

[toppcat]

It's a lottery, nothing more, nothing less.

[packs]

It's not really a lottery though. Juan Soto has only experienced success at any level he's played at, so it's not like you're investing that in a guy who just got drafted. He's hot right now though so it's definitely not the time to buy but if you bought the corresponding Trout card for that price at the time I'm pretty sure you'd see a decent return.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by packs

It's not really a lottery though. Juan Soto has only experienced success at any level he's played at, so it's not like you're investing that in a guy who just got drafted. He's hot right now though so it's definitely not the time to buy but if you bought the corresponding Trout card for that price at the time I'm pretty sure you'd see a decent return.

Yes but he's 19, not like he has a meaningful record of success that says anything about how he is going to perform in MLB. Sure, it's POSSIBLE he becomes the next Trout, but realistically what are the chances, 1 in what? It seems a bad gamble to me.

[packs]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Yes but he's 19, not like he has a meaningful record of success that says anything about how he is going to perform in MLB. Sure, it's POSSIBLE he becomes the next Trout, but realistically what are the chances, 1 in what? It seems a bad gamble to me.

No meaningful record but they're losing Harper and they have Soto and Victor Robles waiting in the wings. Hardly anyone sees meaningful playing time in the majors at 19 and Soto is expected to play every day for the rest of the year. He tore up pitching in the minors which is all you have to go on. Now is definitely not the time to buy. The time to buy would have been before the the season started. But everyone is worried about missing out on the next Trout card.

[Rookiemonster]

Originally Posted by toppcat

It's a lottery, nothing more, nothing less.

Yup, this is it. I’ve just recently ( about two years ago) tried to play. I’ve bought a few auto rookies mostly of a guy named Matt Chapman. He plays third base for the A’s. I like him and think he has potential. He just recently when in a slump but was hot at the start of the year. Is defense is outstanding.

A few years back I bought a rookie of a kid named Cody Bellenger. I got his elite rookie for 3 bucks I sold it last year for 275 dollars. I felt like I won the lotto.

[bnorth]

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Kid has 10 ABs in the bigs. This card isn't even rare, there are 150 of them. And it's a 9 not a 10.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/2016-BOWMAN...p2047675.l2557

one word: INSANITY

[Steve D]

Well, I have to say this about him.....he's the first player in a looooong time, where you can actually read his autograph!

Steve

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by Steve D

Well, I have to say this about him.....he's the first player in a looooong time, where you can actually read his autograph!

Steve

LOL I did notice that -- of course it's a short name so easy to sign.