What % of vintage (pre ww 2) cards do you think are graded?

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Posted By: Rick

High grade, mid grade and low grade respectively?

While SGC has made itself a nice niche in the pre war area...i wonder how much money can they make?

There is a real finite amount of cards in this segment.

PSA has most of the 50-80's where the giant bulk of collectors and cards are aviable and beckett has the new stuff which its always coming out

Gai...well i dont know..with PSA getting ready to grade packs as well...i just dont know how they get a profitable amount of volume.

A company makes money only once when they grade, what happens when the pool of cards gets smaller?

Will prices go higher? will grading co's innovate new products?

PSA has the pop report and SMR..i dont know how profitable those are..but it looks like they will have to keep doing stuff like this in order to make up for loss volume.

whats your view for the next 5 years?

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Posted By: Mark Holt

I believe that the % of cards from any era that are graded is small. I think I'm a fairly average collector - I have a few sets listed on the Registry but most of my collection is raw and will stay that way. For example I have a mid grade raw 41 PB set that looks great in a binder and I can pick it up and look at it easily whenever I want. My 'slabs' are mostly in a box in a closet. Why would I ever spend the dough to have my 41 PBs come back as 4s/5s/and maybe a 6 or two and hit the closet.

I'm guessing most vintage collectors that have been in the hobby for 10 or more years have considerably more raw pre war cards than graded pre war cards.

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Posted By: T206Collector

...and I think they know it. The next 5 years are critical to their survival.

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Posted By: Mark

I guess Beckett is the smartest grading company since it dominates the modern card market and there are hundreds of thousands of modern cards churned off the presses every year.

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Posted By: identify7

# of graded cards I own = < 1%, way less.

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Posted By: Josh K.

who says you cant put slabs in a binder and look at them all the time?

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Posted By: tbob

I'm beginning to see more and more pre-war cards in GAI slabs, not only on ebay but also in major auctions. I have no idea what their percentage of the market is in post-war cards, but they seem to making real inroads in pre-war cards. Now if they would just junk those atrocious holders for Fatimas and larger cards. They look like cheap license plates

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Posted By: identify7

Josh: nobody says that you can't put slabs in a binder and look at them all of the time.

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Posted By: JimB

My cousin, who has not actively collected for about 15 years recently brought some of his T206s to PSA (He lives in Southern California.) to get graded. Among others, his green portrait T206 Cobb graded nm 7. He has a pretty extensive collection. I wonder how many others there are out there like him.
JimB

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Posted By: Darren Duet

5-15%

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Posted By: JimCrandell

Maybe 5%. However those that would grade 7 or higher-maybe 35%(?).

On the other issue, should continue to be room for psa, sgc and gai.

PSA should dominate over the next 5 years due to the registry but lose market share.

SGC has built the comapny since Dave joined on quality and reliability and I think they will continue to gain.

GAI will also gain in my opinion--they are hustlers and Baker is highly regarded.

Dav