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  #1  
Old 12-23-2006, 05:18 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: David Seaborn

I remember a thread a few years ago where most of the N54er with a long history in the hobby mainly agreed the percentage was quite low. This was mainly for two reasons; 1) there are many beat up commons not worth slabbing, and 2) many of the hobby's best collections reside with collectors who started many years ago and don't have anything slabbed. While I think these are true statements, I think it's also fair to say that the percentage must be going up with time. The price of many commons has steadily risen, making their slabbing more reasonable. Although there are some who break cards out of their 'entombment', I think every major auction house gets many more graded, resulting in a net increase. Also, slowly many of these pioneering collectors (or their familes) are auctioning off their collections, where many of the cards are again being slabbed.

Here's my question. What percentage of vintage cards (pre-WWI) do you think are slabbed right now? And, for historical perspective, what percentage do you think were slabbed, say seven years ago, in 2000? I'll guess just to get things started, but, of course, have no idea. Just want to see what everyone thinks.

2000 - 8%
2007 - 14%

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  #2  
Old 12-23-2006, 05:46 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: steve f

Reckon I'm a paranoid collector;

100%

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  #3  
Old 12-23-2006, 06:08 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: bruce Dorskind


From a buyer's perspective, graded cards, despite the plethora
of potential "issues" with the grading companies. provide a level
of security and comfort one could not enjoy with "raw cards."

That said, there are still tens of thousands of raw, Old Judges, T206's, 1933
Goudeys and sprinklings from a cadre of other sets - i.e T201 Mecca
that remain in attics and basements and family collections.

Accordingly, if one were to be able to look at the entire population
of baseball cards issued between 1870 and 1941 which still exist
today ( an impossible task if there ever was one), it would be difficult
to argue that more than one in four or one in five cards has been
graded. Our best guess is less than 15% of the total vintage card
population has been graded.


Best wishes for a terrific 2007. May it be packed with great finds

Bruce Dorskind
America's Toughest Want List

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  #4  
Old 12-23-2006, 06:34 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: Jay

I would guess under 10%. In my collection it is under 1%.

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  #5  
Old 12-23-2006, 06:42 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: barrysloate

If these early numbers are true (and they seem low to me) then I am definitely buying some stock in the grading companies. They clearly will have a lot of business in the coming years.

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Old 12-23-2006, 06:54 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: Peter Thomas

I think it is much higher 25% or more.

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Old 12-23-2006, 06:59 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: leon

Our guess (me and my dog Trixie)is that the number for pre-war graded cards is 6.5% ....not a tenth of a percent more. I had to argue with Trixie about it but in the end she caved in and went with my number. (well, I bribed her with another stuffed toy to tear up but that's for another thread).....

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Old 12-23-2006, 07:06 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: Geno

I would guess in the 10-15% range. I have a complete set of T205s with not a slab in sight. Of roughly 1000 pre-war cards in my collection, I'd guess about 10 are slabbed. That's 10 cards, not 10%...

Take Care, Geno

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  #9  
Old 12-23-2006, 07:21 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: Steve M.

I was leaning towards 1% and with Geno's post am willing to commit to that estimate.

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  #10  
Old 12-23-2006, 07:30 AM
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Default Percentage of Vintage Cards Slabbed in Hobby

Posted By: JimCrandell

Unquestionably over 10% of prewar. Probably close to 15% but on the way to over 75%--everything except the real beaters.

Jim

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