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-   -   Disturbing Confession ... (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=363074)

egri 07-20-2025 12:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kzoo (Post 2528202)
I agree very strongly with this statement. The people freaking out and screaming now and for the next several weeks that 'mostly all autographs are fake' or 'if it wasn't signed in front of me, it's probably a fake' are the EXACT same people that were never interested in collecting signed items to begin with and have been complaining about them for decades. If you don't feel comfortable with them, don't collect them.

I've noticed several members here who come here just to post about how much they are sick of the hobby and everything wrong with it and are leaving. I always wondered what their end goal was; it's a bit like going to a Brazilian steakhouse and having a tantrum because they serve meat.

Brent G. 07-20-2025 05:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by egri (Post 2528288)
I've noticed several members here who come here just to post about how much they are sick of the hobby and everything wrong with it and are leaving. I always wondered what their end goal was; it's a bit like going to a Brazilian steakhouse and having a tantrum because they serve meat.

Can we set up a special B/S/T section for this group to help them get out faster? They can sell at pre-1980 prices — you know, back when it was really a hobby.

Snapolit1 07-20-2025 07:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brent G. (Post 2528291)
Can we set up a special B/S/T section for this group to help them get out faster? They can sell at pre-1980 prices — you know, back when it was really a hobby.

The good old days, before fraud and greed, were amazing. You missed them. Everything was pure and wonderful and everyone was great. The good old days. The magical cure all.

Makes me think for some reason about the Twilight Zone episode in the nursing home where the guy runs outside and plays with the small children. The magic of the good old days.

BillyCoxDodgers3B 07-20-2025 07:22 AM

I don't understand why the Henny Penny "The sky is falling!" people even collect. If that was my mentality, there would be no pleasure left and I'd take up something more calming. As much as I want to see as many people involved with something that has been a lifelong passion for me, this side of the hobby isn't for everyone.

It shouldn't be that difficult for collectors with even the slightest bit of seasoning to discern that a dealer selling a ton of top-name modern players on knockoff jerseys is going to be problematic. Logic, people. Tom Brady and Kobe Bryant did not autograph a bunch of cheap memorabilia, of which these dealers have an endless supply. You don't even have to look at the autographs before realizing there's a problem. You just have to look through the glass at the quality of the jerseys. No ridiculous, tacky, over-the-top framing job can hide a lack of quality in manufacturing. It doesn't take very much time to learn the keys to differentiate between an official, quality, licensed jersey and a $20 Asian knockoff.

But sometimes, the problem is a case of "buy the cert, not the autograph". If that's all you're doing, then you're bound to be faced with issues, even if only periodically. There are already far too many collectors, dealers and flippers who don't care about the autograph(s) as long as it supposedly passed a major TPA's inspection. I don't even feel like I'm on the same planet with that type of hobbyist. Self education will always be the greatest key to success in this hobby.

Brent G. 07-20-2025 07:37 AM

I grew up in a great college town — Bloomington, Indiana. My parents spent the first 55 years of their life there, but now hate it because it just isn’t like it used to be in those good old days. I’ll bet the people before them in horse-and-buggies thought the same thing. Nostalgia is nice, but it can blind you to the fact that right now is the greatest time ever for those in younger age groups. I guess we’re all a little guilty of thinking OUR time was the best.

Personally, right now I’m having more fun collecting than I did at ages 7-16.

Directly 07-20-2025 08:08 AM

Who Am I
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is one perfect example of a modern signed sticker--If it wasn't on a Baseball card the signature would be tough to decipher--

T206Collector 07-20-2025 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billycoxdodgers3b (Post 2528302)
self education will always be the greatest key to success in this hobby.

+1



.

Hankphenom 07-20-2025 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Directly (Post 2528312)
Here is one perfect example of a modern signed sticker--If it wasn't my Baseball card the signature would be tough to decipher--

I'm confused--what is this of? What's a sticker? Or is this supposed to be a signed card? Looks like old-school initials to me--can those pass as an autograph these days? Asking for a friend.

Hankphenom 07-20-2025 09:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brent G. (Post 2528304)
I grew up in a great college town — Bloomington, Indiana. My parents spent the first 55 years of their life there, but now hate it because it just isn’t like it used to be in those good old days. I’ll bet the people before them in horse-and-buggies thought the same thing. Nostalgia is nice, but it can blind you to the fact that right now is the greatest time ever for those in younger age groups. I guess we’re all a little guilty of thinking OUR time was the best. Personally, right now I’m having more fun collecting than I did at ages 7-16.

I'm 79, and I can tell you about many things in my youth that WERE better--more pure fun and joy, simpler and more gratifying, less stressful, etc., but what's the use? Those days are never coming back. If I don't like the music today, I don't listen to it, that's all, same with movies, TV shows, etc. But I love the choices of restaurants, fashions and clothes, services of all kinds, terrific cars, wonderful bourbons and beers, and many other things that ARE better today than they were. As for collecting, what difference does it make if you're a kid collecting in homage to our favorite players and teams, as we did, or because of the thrill of pulling something rare and unique? The kick is the same, and it's great to see the newer generations taking over with their own style. If it was just old guys with money fighting each other for the same musty stuff over and over, that wouldn't be much of a hobby would it, and how long could it last? We can't even imagine what this hobby will look like in a hundred years, but as long as they're having fun with it, what else matters?

ASF123 07-20-2025 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hankphenom (Post 2528320)
I'm confused--what is this of? What's a sticker? Or is this supposed to be a signed card? Looks like old-school initials to me--can those pass as an autograph these days? Asking for a friend.

Many modern pack-inserted “autographed cards” are really just an “autographed” sticker applied to the card. And yes, the “autographs” often are scribbled initials, or even less in some cases.

Brent G. 07-20-2025 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hankphenom (Post 2528321)
I'm 79, and I can tell you about many things in my youth that WERE better--more pure fun and joy, simpler and more gratifying, less stressful, etc., but what's the use? Those days are never coming back. If I don't like the music today, I don't listen to it, that's all, same with movies, TV shows, etc. But I love the choices of restaurants, fashions and clothes, services of all kinds, terrific cars, wonderful bourbons and beers, and many other things that ARE better today than they were. As for collecting, what difference does it make if you're a kid collecting in homage to our favorite players and teams, as we did, or because of the thrill of pulling something rare and unique? The kick is the same, and it's great to see the newer generations taking over with their own style. If it was just old guys with money fighting each other for the same musty stuff over and over, that wouldn't be much of a hobby would it, and how long could it last? We can't even imagine what this hobby will look like in a hundred years, but as long as they're having fun with it, what else matters?

I raise a Sunday snifter of Blanton’s and say, “Cheers,” Hank.

Hankphenom 07-20-2025 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brent G. (Post 2528325)
I raise a Sunday snifter of Blanton’s and say, “Cheers,” Hank.

I'll drink to that. Cheers, Brent!

Kzoo 07-20-2025 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ASF123 (Post 2528323)
Many modern pack-inserted “autographed cards” are really just an “autographed” sticker applied to the card. And yes, the “autographs” often are scribbled initials, or even less in some cases.

I believe the main cause of the modern 'autograph' scribble is the lack of public schools teaching cursive for the past 15+(?) years.

calvindog 07-20-2025 11:32 AM

It’s obviously a leap of faith when spending any real money on an autograph, which is why I gravitate toward signed checks, official documents, etc. However, I have a HUGE amount of baseballs signed by world leaders, musicians, actors, criminals, etc. And I’m fine with them because I never paid for any of them — meaning I know the provenance of each one, having gotten them signed myself or receiving them from people who had the obvious ability to get them signed. And these are some valuable balls. Because of the expense, I’d really need some good proof before spending 5-6 figures on an autograph. Paul (T206 Collector) does a great job/massive effort of tracking down the provenance of many signed cards in his collection and website. I’m always amazed that the auction houses selling so many valuable, signed vintage cards each month rely solely on the slab for evidence of authenticity instead of tracking down any provenance. I suppose they don’t have to, due to the card being slabbed. Until that changes, this area of the hobby is just very risky.

Here's Queen Elizabeth and King Charles:
https://staging-jubilee.flickr.com/6...5e11e0d2_z.jpg
https://staging-jubilee.flickr.com/6...6b55e3fb_z.jpg

Casey2296 07-20-2025 11:44 AM

-
Jeff, for a second, until I read your description, I thought that might have been a Charley Manson signed baseball.
-

calvindog 07-20-2025 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Casey2296 (Post 2528348)
-
Jeff, for a second, until I read your description, I thought that might have been a Charley Manson signed baseball.
-

Got him too:

https://staging-jubilee.flickr.com/8...52e1bef1_z.jpg

Casey2296 07-20-2025 12:37 PM

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Ha! Why does that not surprise me.
-

T206Collector 07-20-2025 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2528345)
Paul (T206 Collector) does a great job/massive effort of tracking down the provenance of many signed cards in his collection.

Thanks Jeff! Provenance is super important to establishing and maintaining value. As you note, auction houses often fail to include it even when they actually have it. Unfortunately, very few signed cards come with this level of contemporaneous provenance:

https://live.staticflickr.com/8781/2...82c8b1c3_z.jpg

https://live.staticflickr.com/8164/2...db05eb4f_c.jpg

https://live.staticflickr.com/8031/2...ec04384a_z.jpg

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/...731de00be7.jpg

Hankphenom 07-20-2025 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2528352)

OMG! What's the story behind this, Jeff? Ordinary TTM request to San Quentin?

Exhibitman 07-20-2025 01:32 PM

I acquired a lot of my stuff in the good old days, and when I look at what I paid versus what it is worth now, all I can say is, good riddance to the good old days.

I never was bitten by the autograph bug, excepting when it was fun to get them myself, and even then, it was on cards, so no doggies in the fight. The only signed ball I have is a dual Ryan-Koufax, and that was a fun story. My cousin was working with Ryan on an Advil campaign and got me a signed, inscribed ball. Many years later, a client was a friend of Koufax from Brooklyn and asked me if I wanted to have him sign something when he was in town. I gave him the Ryan ball and asked that he have Koufax inscribe it the same way. He called me a few days later and said that Koufax refused to sign it; he told me Koufax said: "Why the f*** would I want to be on a ball with Ryan?" I was floored. Of course, he was joking, and presented me with the signed ball shortly after that.

As for the underlying story, I tend to agree with Ryan as to outcome. I do think that provenance is going to play an ever-larger role in value.

I am also dubious of the magnitude claims of the mastermind Lemieux; I have no doubt he filtered lots of bad stuff into the market but I tend to discount the claims of a suicidal fraudster to have perpetrated a fraud on the order of the annual budget of a small city.

Jeff, those royalty signed balls are insane.

oldjudge 07-20-2025 02:01 PM

Paul-That letter from Snodgrass is incredible. Congratulations on having that great piece.

Jeff-Your collection continues to amaze. It has to be one of the most interesting in the hobby.

Mark17 07-20-2025 09:29 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2528352)

I always found it amusing that Manson drew his swastikas backwards. I mean, if you're going to carve your forehead, get it right.

steve B 07-21-2025 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4815162342 (Post 2528241)
It makes sense that a skilled forger would avoid producing thousands of fake prewar signed cards with an autopen, given the limited availability of the cards, the high risk, and the certainty of close examination. Identical Ruth or Cobb signatures would quickly raise red flags.

But what happens when AI is used to create a more human-like autopen that slightly varies each signature?

That would not require AI.

steve B 07-21-2025 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kzoo (Post 2528344)
I believe the main cause of the modern 'autograph' scribble is the lack of public schools teaching cursive for the past 15+(?) years.

I learned it, and my handwriting has never been al that pretty...

My kids also learned it a couple years ago. Literally, like Junior high.
Of course the younger one was typing 70wpm in 5th grade so why even write?

Hankphenom 07-21-2025 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark17 (Post 2528468)
I always found it amusing that Manson drew his swastikas backwards. I mean, if you're going to carve your forehead, get it right.

Charlie got a lot of things wrong...

Zach Wheat 07-21-2025 08:16 AM

One of the articles mentions that he used a sophisticated "autopen" system - which I assumed meant the signatures varied slightly.

calvindog 07-21-2025 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hankphenom (Post 2528371)
OMG! What's the story behind this, Jeff? Ordinary TTM request to San Quentin?

He had a legal visit and the ball was allowed in!

calvindog 07-21-2025 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark17 (Post 2528468)
I always found it amusing that Manson drew his swastikas backwards. I mean, if you're going to carve your forehead, get it right.

He did it while looking at himself in the mirror. That's why it's backwards!

Mark17 07-21-2025 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2528512)
He did it while looking at himself in the mirror. That's why it's backwards!

It's also backwards on your ball.

Exhibitman 07-22-2025 08:13 AM

Reminds me of Kinison's joke about Manson at a parole hearing claiming that the White Album made him commit the murders: you were on acid, Manson, you'd have gotten the same message from The Monkees, you sick f***. "Last Train to Clarkesville...how clear does he have to say it?"

akleinb611 07-22-2025 09:10 AM

Frankly, I always thought “Daydream Believer” was a dangerous song.


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