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-   -   So who was better ( Kaline or Clemente) ? (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=324876)

G1911 09-20-2022 07:45 PM

In 1968, Kaline posted an OPS+ (I can't think of a better solitary figure of general offensive performance) of 146. In 1971, 144. In 1972, 149 (which is better than Clemente). He wasn't a slouch in '69 or '70 either. From 1968-1972, Clemente posted an OPS+ of 153, Kaline of 134.

73 and 74, Kaline's bat was league average. Kaline was below the league average 3 times, Clemente was below average for 4 years, though he didn't play out his decline, for tragic reasons. I don't think anything thinks Kaline was performing like a star his final 2 years.

Clemente is definitely better from 1968-1972; which I suppose is the whole point of focusing on this section. Nobody is arguing that Kaline was better in this selected period. Clemente is a player I greatly admire and like. But we need not claim Kaline was performing as an average to below average player at his position(s) starting in 1968; that's just not there in the data. He clearly was not. Let's not get hyperbolic.

Kaline was far above an average player in 1972, as was Clemente. Even if we pretended Kaline was a 1B exclusively for the sake of argument. Average 1B weren't posting OPS' of that caliber, RF's were not either. Nowhere near.


I should probably stop before ClementeFan has a heart attack and goes apeshit on a fourth poster now.

ClementeFanOh 09-20-2022 07:53 PM

Roberto vs Al
 
G1911- my "heart attack" can only arise from your actually staying point.
Ah well, even a broken clock is correct twice a day. Trent King

And the right call is still, and always was, Roberto.

Peter_Spaeth 09-20-2022 08:06 PM

Interestingly, for a great player, Clemente has some significant negatives/mediocre stats: home runs, steals and walks. In the end, based on a subjective judgment, I would give a slight edge to Clemente over Kaline, but I give very little credence to arguments Clemente was on a par or better than Aaron.

G1911 09-20-2022 08:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2265790)
Interestingly, for a great player, Clemente has some significant negatives/mediocre stats: home runs, steals and walks. In the end, based on a subjective judgment, I would give a slight edge to Clemente over Kaline, but I give very little credence to arguments Clemente was on a par or better than Aaron.

Before looking deeper, I would have expected Clemente to have the better SB record, and while he wasn't a walk machine, I didn't realize how little he walked. I thought Clemente would have the higher OBP, and lose slugging by a wider margin than he does (He's only .005 below Kaline's).

cgjackson222 09-20-2022 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by G1911 (Post 2265783)
But we need not claim Kaline was performing as an average to below average player at his position(s) starting in 1968; that's just not there in the data. He clearly was not. Let's not get hyperbolic.

From 1968 through the end of his career in 1974, Kaline's Wins Against Average was 2.0, 1.3, 1.3, 1.5, 1.4, -.7, -1.8. So from 1968 through 1974, Kaline's total Wins Above Average was 5.5, and his average WAA was less than 1 per year. Now, if Kaline ONLY played Right field during this time, his numbers would be much better. But he was hitting average to below average for a 1st basemen and below average for a DH.

He was also a fielding liability during this time with a negative dWAR in ever single year.

G1911 09-20-2022 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgjackson222 (Post 2265795)
From 1968 through the end of his career in 1974, Kaline's Wins Against Average was 2.0, 1.3, 1.3, 1.5, 1.4, -.7, -1.8. So from 1968 through 1974, Kaline's total Wins Above Average was 5.5, and his average WAA was less than 1 per year. Now, if Kaline ONLY played Right field during this time, his numbers would be much better. But he was hitting average to below average for a 1st basemen and below average for a DH.

He was also a fielding liability during this time with a negative dWAR in ever single year.

He was an average bat in 1973 and 1974. When were 1B's posting 134 OPS+'s as average? Let's not get carried away. He was getting on base and slugging well over average starters. If this is average offensive performance, Clemente has a whole lot of average years in his post-1960 career.

WAR hates his defense. I don't put much stock in that, some do. I don't think it's a very accurate measurement, though it really helps some players I like and usually works for the guy I like more than the guy I don't (though the guy I like here is Roberto more than Al). I don't know when his glove really went, I don't doubt Clemente was probably better on D late career too.

WAA has them essentially equal for their careers too, like most measures.

cgjackson222 09-20-2022 09:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by G1911 (Post 2265797)
He was an average bat in 1973 and 1974. When were 1B's posting 134 OPS+'s as average? Let's not get carried away.

I am not sure I am following. Kaline's lifetime OPS+ was 134.
But his OPS+ was 96 in 1973 and 107 as DH in 1974.

Other AL DHs' OPS+ in 1974:
New York: Ron Blomberg 147
Angels: Frank Robinson 146
Cleveland: Oscar Gamble 140
Kansas City: Hal McRae 139
Minnesota: Tony Oliva 109
Texas: Jim Spencer 108
Baltimore: Tommy Davis 105
Chicago: Pat Kelly 104
Milwaukee: Bobby Mitchell 103
Boston: Cecil Cooper 101
Oakland: Jesus Alou 83

So Kaline's OPS+ at DH of 107 was higher 5 other AL DHs and lower than 6.
The average OPS+ of the DHs was just under 117, significantly higher than Kaline's.

The point is that a player's value to his team has a lot to do with the position he plays. Clemente was still playing a productive Right Field at the end of his career, not platooning with 1st Base or DH.

G1911 09-20-2022 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgjackson222 (Post 2265816)
I am not sure I am following. Kaline's lifetime OPS+ was 134.
But his OPS+ was 96 in 1973 and 107 as DH in 1974.

Other AL DHs' OPS+ in 1974:
New York: Ron Blomberg 147
Angels: Frank Robinson 146
Cleveland: Oscar Gamble 140
Kansas City: Hal McRae 139
Minnesota: Tony Oliva 109
Texas: Jim Spencer 108
Baltimore: Tommy Davis 105
Chicago: Pat Kelly 104
Milwaukee: Bobby Mitchell 103
Boston: Cecil Cooper 101
Oakland: Jesus Alou 83

So Kaline's OPS at DH of 107 was higher 5 other AL DHs and lower than 6.
The average OPS+ of the DHs was just under 117, significantly higher than Kaline's.

The point is that a player's value to his team has a lot to do with the position he plays. Clemente was still playing a productive Right Field at the end of his career, not platooning with 1st Base or DH.

Your original post cited his 1968 and on performance as average to below average. I was responding to that. From 1968-1972, he posted a 134 OPS+, finishing over 140 three times in those five years.

I agree, and have said a few times, he was just a league average bat his last two years while providing little value elsewhere. 1973, he’s declined and no longer a great or even a star. But that’s 1973-1974, not 1968-1974. I have, very specifically, never stated anywhere that Kaline was a stud in 1974. He was 39 and could have hung on another year or two maybe, but not as a real contributor.

cgjackson222 09-20-2022 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by G1911 (Post 2265823)
Your original post cited his 1968 and on performance as average to below average. I was responding to that. From 1968-1972, he posted a 134 OPS+, finishing over 140 three times in those five years.

I agree, and have said a few times, he was just a league average bat his last two years while providing little value elsewhere. 1973, he’s declined and no longer a great or even a star. But that’s 1973-1974, not 1968-1974. I have, very specifically, never stated anywhere that Kaline was a stud in 1974. He was 39 and could have hung on another year or two maybe, but not as a real contributor.

Yes, I was looking at 1968 thru the end of his career. You have decided to exclude his final two years, which obviously changes things quite a bit.

You are repeating that "he was a league average bat his last two years"
My point is that when you are a league average bat playing DH or 1B that is really an average or below average bat for those positions.

You also seem to think that dWAR is meaningless. Fine, that is your opinion. But perhaps his team thought he shouldn't play Rightfield any more because he wasn't good at it any more.

G1911 09-20-2022 10:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgjackson222 (Post 2265826)
Yes, I was looking at 1968 thru the end of his career. You have decided to exclude his final two years, which obviously changes things quite a bit.

You are repeating that "he was a league average bat his last two years"
My point is that when you are a league average bat playing DH or 1B that is really an average or below average bat for those positions.

You also seem to think that dWAR is meaningless. Fine, that is your opinion. But perhaps his team thought he shouldn't play Rightfield any more because he wasn't good at it.

As I’ve said from the get go, I agree his last two years. A league average bat DH is not valuable. Absolutely nobody has said Kaline was great in 73 or 74. He was also not average or below average the five years before that though, as was originally argued. He was far above average starters at either of his positions (mainly OF). He was posting strong batting lines those five years. His bay isn’t in decline until 1973, not 1968.

I also agreed he probably wasn’t a star on defense anymore and Clemente was better. I don’t think we disagree; I’ve certainly written nothing contradictory to your point here. I don’t doubt moving him to DH at 39 was a good idea.

isiahfan 09-20-2022 11:49 PM

Funny thread...everyone wants to compare this year or these two years or three years that don't exist....

Please compare total careers...PLEASE...or even primes...but you RC guys are really focusing on the last few years...that Kaline played basically on one leg.

Simply...Career stats ARE NOT CLOSE...Prime years are really not that close either

cgjackson222 09-21-2022 05:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by isiahfan (Post 2265837)
Funny thread...everyone wants to compare this year or these two years or three years that don't exist....

Please compare total careers...PLEASE...or even primes...but you RC guys are really focusing on the last few years...that Kaline played basically on one leg.

Simply...Carrer stats ARE NOT CLOSE...Prime years are really not that close either

Do you believe that WAR or WAA are valuable statistics?
If so, have you looked at the career totals for Clemente and Kaline?

isiahfan 09-21-2022 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgjackson222 (Post 2265851)
Do you believe that WAR or WAA are valuable statistics?
If so, have you looked at the career totals for Clemente and Kaline?

I believe they have value to a point yes....but I also feel they are a bit flawed...like all metrics. And like all sports I don't think the numbers necessarily tell everything...they do more so in baseball than the other 3 major sports IMO. But when the WAR is that close...and I see a MJOR gap in counting statistics like BB, RBI, HR....and the stats that lean the other way are negligible....makes my decision easy. Macro/Aggregate view vs micro/hypothetical view for me

cgjackson222 09-21-2022 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by isiahfan (Post 2265930)
I believe they have value to a point yes....but I also feel they are a bit flawed...like all metrics. And like all sports I don't think the numbers necessarily tell everything...they do more so in baseball than the other 3 major sports IMO. But when the WAR is that close...and I see a MJOR gap in counting statistics like BB, RBI, HR....and the stats that lean the other way are negligible....makes my decision easy. Macro/Aggregate view vs micro/hypothetical view for me

Okay, well, I don't think any amount of statistical analysis is going to change your mind. So we will just have to agree to disagree.

I do want to point out that most people on this thread, myself included think it is pretty even between the two. You may be the odd man out in thinking that Kaline is obviously better than Clemente.

G1911 09-21-2022 12:11 PM

I am hard pressed to think of, among the greats, two more closely matched contemporaries at a position. Maybe Dickey and Cochrane?

Whoever comes out on top, it's by a small margin.

cgjackson222 09-21-2022 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by G1911 (Post 2266006)
I am hard pressed to think of, among the greats, two more closely matched contemporaries at a position. Maybe Dickey and Cochrane?

Whoever comes out on top, it's by a small margin.

Ooooh Dickey vs. Cochrane is a really good one. I'd have to think about that one for a while.

Touch'EmAll 09-21-2022 12:47 PM

Berra won MVP in 1951, 1954 & 1955. Was 2nd in voting 1953 & 1956.

Campy won MVP in 1951, 1953 & 1955

Shemp 09-21-2022 02:03 PM

Here are the top 5 WAR's for Kaline:

1961 - 8.5
1955 - 8.4
1967 - 7.5
1956 - 5.5
1958 - 5.5

Kaline's best 5 year period was 1955 to 1959 with total WAR of 32.6.
Kaline had 3 seasons with a WAR above 7.0.


Here are the top 5 WAR's for Clemente:

1967 - 9.0
1966 - 8.2
1968 - 8.2
1969 - 7.5
1971 - 7.5

Clemente's best 5 year period was 1965 to 1969 with total WAR of 40.0.
Clemente had 7 seasons with a WAR above 7.0.

So for me the question is "which player at their peak gives my team the best chance of winning?". Clemente looks to be that guy. Is he overrated? No. He's a notch below Aaron but above contemporaries like Frank Robinson or Johnny Callison.

Kaline may not have had as many high WAR years but was a very steady and reliable player for a long time. Is he overrated? No. Was he better than Frank Robinson? No. Was he better than Johnny Callison? Yes.

Full disclosure: as a kid in the 1960's my favorite player was Clemente.

isiahfan 09-21-2022 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgjackson222 (Post 2265987)
Okay, well, I don't think any amount of statistical analysis is going to change your mind. So we will just have to agree to disagree.

I do want to point out that most people on this thread, myself included think it is pretty even between the two. You may be the odd man out in thinking that Kaline is obviously better than Clemente.

I think it is very close...but my "statistical analysis" is tilted to the guy that had a massive advantage in some pretty big categories...RBI BB SB HR...everything else was +/- IMO

I think more people had/have an emotional attachement to RC...and thats's OK...he's more iconic for sure

I think...again...thoe trying to use "statistical analysis" for clemente are grasping at best using various random stats....where as I am saying look at there numbers as a whole where they ended up. No ifs and coulds or buts...no take this year or age or in the month of May...Total career stats. They definitely lean one way. Defense is a wash IMO...hard to give a guy a large edge oer another that has 10 GG and just as good of an arm.

Aquarian Sports Cards 09-22-2022 06:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shemp (Post 2266091)
Here are the top 5 WAR's for Kaline:

1961 - 8.5
1955 - 8.4
1967 - 7.5
1956 - 5.5
1958 - 5.5

Kaline's best 5 year period was 1955 to 1959 with total WAR of 32.6.
Kaline had 3 seasons with a WAR above 7.0.


Here are the top 5 WAR's for Clemente:

1967 - 9.0
1966 - 8.2
1968 - 8.2
1969 - 7.5
1971 - 7.5

Clemente's best 5 year period was 1965 to 1969 with total WAR of 40.0.
Clemente had 7 seasons with a WAR above 7.0.

So for me the question is "which player at their peak gives my team the best chance of winning?". Clemente looks to be that guy. Is he overrated? No. He's a notch below Aaron but above contemporaries like Frank Robinson or Johnny Callison.

Kaline may not have had as many high WAR years but was a very steady and reliable player for a long time. Is he overrated? No. Was he better than Frank Robinson? No. Was he better than Johnny Callison? Yes.

Full disclosure: as a kid in the 1960's my favorite player was Clemente.

Wait, you're taking Clemente over Frank Robinson? Sign me up for that trade, I'll even toss in Milt Pappas.

rats60 09-23-2022 06:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by isiahfan (Post 2265930)
I believe they have value to a point yes....but I also feel they are a bit flawed...like all metrics. And like all sports I don't think the numbers necessarily tell everything...they do more so in baseball than the other 3 major sports IMO. But when the WAR is that close...and I see a MJOR gap in counting statistics like BB, RBI, HR....and the stats that lean the other way are negligible....makes my decision easy. Macro/Aggregate view vs micro/hypothetical view for me

Kaline played in one of the easiest stadiums to hit HRs in. Clemente played in one of the most difficult. Kaline hit 226 HRs in Tiger Stadium, Clemente hit 86 in Forbes Field. The HR gap is negligible. Clemente had a much higher batting average and provided a huge value defensively over Kaline. While Clemente didn't steal a lot of bases, he had one of the highest extra bases taken percentages. Clemente also better stats with RISP, .327/.485 to .312/.474 for Kaline. RBIs are product of your teammates getting on base in front of you (as well as playing in a small home park).

isiahfan 09-24-2022 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rats60 (Post 2266629)
Kaline played in one of the easiest stadiums to hit HRs in. Clemente played in one of the most difficult. Kaline hit 226 HRs in Tiger Stadium, Clemente hit 86 in Forbes Field. The HR gap is negligible. Clemente had a much higher batting average and provided a huge value defensively over Kaline. While Clemente didn't steal a lot of bases, he had one of the highest extra bases taken percentages. Clemente also better stats with RISP, .327/.485 to .312/.474 for Kaline. RBIs are product of your teammates getting on base in front of you (as well as playing in a small home park).


HR Negligible?...Huge defensive gap over a 10X GG winner....

I don't do drugs...but you must have access to some great stuff .015 advantage in RISP....you are really grasping now

I get the emotional attachment to RC..iconic player.....but you really have to get off the nipple


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