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-   -   Net54 age distribution (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=195152)

BicycleSpokes 10-08-2014 05:28 AM

Net54 age distribution
 
Dear all,

I am curious to try and loosely quantify the age distribution among pre-war collectors, and I figure Net 54 members would be a good sample. If you don't mind, please take a minute and place a vote for your age group above!

I am especially interested if we collectively resemble e.g. a "youthful", "mature", or "post-mature" distribution, which will become more clear when the distribution curve begins to take shape.

Comments, opinions, and discussion on the likely effect of the pre-war collector age distribution on future demand (and hence prices!) are most welcome.

Thanks for voting.

Cheers,
David

ullmandds 10-08-2014 06:54 AM

i see frank and ted have not responded yet!!!:)

GoldenAge50s 10-08-2014 10:02 AM

Pete--
 
Me & 2 others have now!;)

Jobu 10-08-2014 01:59 PM

Excellent Poll
 
I have been thinking of posting this exact thing for a few weeks.

Leon 10-08-2014 02:02 PM

We have had these polls over the years and it's always fun to see a new one. Our average age used to be about 44 yrs old, last poll I think I figured it to be around 42 yrs old. Seems about right.... It's always good to see the "younger than 40yr old guys" collecting pre-war and vintage. Most know but I just turned 53 (not that it matters).

packs 10-08-2014 02:14 PM

29 here. Clinging to the "20s" range as long as I can.

obcbobd 10-08-2014 02:49 PM

Happy Birthday Leon. I've 2 months and 3 days to catch up with you.

I would guess the ages reported hear might be a little on the young side as older folks might not be into the Internet? I mean there must be some 8 year old collectors.

What do people who set up at shows say? Is mid 40s a good average age?

thanks

Bob

obcbobd 10-08-2014 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by obcbobd (Post 1331797)
Happy Birthday Leon. I've 2 months and 3 days to catch up with you.

I would guess the ages reported hear might be a little on the young side as older folks might not be into the Internet? I mean there must be some 8 year old collectors.

What do people who set up at shows say? Is mid 40s a good average age?

thanks

Bob

I meant to say 80 year old collectors. I'm sure all the 8 year olds are on the internet

wazoo 10-08-2014 03:53 PM

17 :d

Sean1125 10-08-2014 05:04 PM

22

ajjohnsonsoxfan 10-08-2014 05:15 PM

Interesting as it plays into the longevity of the hobby. I was trying to convince my brother to invest in a card the other day and his argument was that baseball card collecting will die out with this generation as the popularity of the sport fades over time and cedes fans to Football, Basketball, Soccer etc. I of course told him to jump in a lake, that young fans will continue to find the hobby and the finite nature of the cards creates a real supply and demand marketplace.

Quote:

Originally Posted by BicycleSpokes (Post 1331581)
Dear all,

I am curious to try and loosely quantify the age distribution among pre-war collectors, and I figure Net 54 members would be a good sample. If you don't mind, please take a minute and place a vote for your age group above!

I am especially interested if we collectively resemble e.g. a "youthful", "mature", or "post-mature" distribution, which will become more clear when the distribution curve begins to take shape.

Comments, opinions, and discussion on the likely effect of the pre-war collector age distribution on future demand (and hence prices!) are most welcome.

Thanks for voting.

Cheers,
David


Kawika 10-08-2014 06:40 PM

Fourteen years old trapped in a sixty-four year old body.

Nappy1525 10-08-2014 06:46 PM

Proud to be one of the few under 20

T206.org 10-08-2014 07:34 PM

33 going on 16 here

tonyo 10-08-2014 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 1331780)
29 here. Clinging to the "20s" range as long as I can.

Hang in there, I just moved into "50's" 2 weeks ago

Centauri 10-08-2014 08:37 PM

Well, I am shocked Leon is just 53. I assumed he was much older...<ducks>:D

Matvoo 10-08-2014 09:39 PM

15 years old !

batsballsbases 10-08-2014 09:44 PM

56 coming up!;)

Jeffrompa 10-08-2014 10:00 PM

Same here 55 and counting .

Gobucsmagic74 10-08-2014 10:06 PM

39 for another month.

BicycleSpokes 10-09-2014 02:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ajjohnsonsoxfan (Post 1331870)
Interesting as it plays into the longevity of the hobby.

I totally agree, and gaining some insight on this issue is actually my main motivation behind the poll.

After a 24 hour sampling period has passed, I will report some statistics about the distribution...

JollyElm 10-09-2014 04:04 AM

Keep in mind that it might be tough for folks in the last 3 or 4 categories to understand how to use their computers, so their numbers may end up being lower than reality. :D

EvilKing00 10-09-2014 05:12 AM

turned 40 6 months ago

BicycleSpokes 10-09-2014 05:42 AM

Poll results (24 hr sample period)
 
1 Attachment(s)
Thank you all so much for the great voter turnout!

After an "official" 24 hour sampling period, here are some results for the Net54 age distribution poll:

Total population sampled: 289
mean age: 45.4 years
median age: 44.5 years
standard deviation: 11.6 years
skewness: 0.132

For the mean and other statistics, I just assumed a mean value for each age group i.e. 14.5, 24.5, 34.5, etc.. While not perfect, this is easier than compiling the nearly 300 values by hand! (and also gets to within a few years of the mean values Leon mentioned previously in the thread, as a gut check.)

More than the mean, I am personally actually most interested in the skewness, which is a measure of how asymmetric the distribution is about the mean. The slightly positive skewness means that the distribution is actually "leftward leaning" compared to a perfectly symmetric normal distribution i.e. leaning towards the younger population (e.g. the 30s outweigh the 50s; also the "most likely" median age is less than the mean). I was actually expecting the opposite, so this is a pleasant surprise. This in particular would seem to point to a rather healthy, possibly growing, active Net54 population. In fact, given that many potential collectors won't have much disposable income until around say 30 (at least I know I didn't), this may create an artificial lower age barrier to entering the hobby, hence the leftward lean might be even more pronounced than indicated by the raw statistics (I am only speculating here). On the other hand, as many of you noted, the online sampling might also skew young compared to the pre-war collecting population as a whole. In any event, a graph of the 24-hour sampling results is attached as a JPEG file, in case anybody is interested.

If it doesn't annoy you guys too much, I would like to repeat this "census survey" at approximately annual periods, and continually add the new yearly results onto the chart below. I don't expect much difference year to year necessarily, but over say 5 or 10 years, I am curious if any noticeable and consistent drifts can be observed. (Sorry, I am an engineer / scientist, and just like doing these sorts of things! Also, anybody who has actual expertise in statistics, polling, etc. is very welcome to weight in!)

Thank you all again for participating (the poll remains open).

Cheers,
David

EvilKing00 10-09-2014 07:18 AM

Nice work

soccersaver97 10-09-2014 04:37 PM

17. Part of the 1%!

DHogan 10-09-2014 04:39 PM

I'm 57 and feel old. :(

jiw98 10-09-2014 06:09 PM

Feeling good at 56.

ethicsprof 10-10-2014 03:11 PM

age
 
40 folks in their 60s!!!
I feel better already. :)

all the best,
barry

barrysloate 10-10-2014 03:39 PM

62 and counting.:)

Leon 10-10-2014 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Centauri (Post 1331974)
Well, I am shocked Leon is just 53. I assumed he was much older...<ducks>:D

Thanks. Physically I feel much older, mentally, like a kid...... but with the responsibilities of the older guy. The poll confirms the norm......nice job too.

Rhotchkiss 12-19-2018 06:41 AM

Reviving this thread from 2014. Thanks for the link Pete

50sBaseball 12-19-2018 08:47 AM

I just qualify as a pre-war baseball card collector as I focus primarily as a Ted Williams-era (1939-1960) collector. At 72+ years, I have been called (and categorized) many things, but never as "post-mature!" What does that mean? By the way, I called my 17 year-old granddaughter and she helped me to turn on my computer. Thank God for kids and grandkids. Still enjoy collecting, but am at that crossroads mentioned in other threads about is it time to start selling off one's collection. Not quite ready and still enjoy the thrill of the chase.

barrysloate 12-19-2018 09:50 AM

I was so much older then
I'm younger than that now.

Eggoman 12-19-2018 10:43 AM

I'd be curious to see a parallel poll indicating how long we have been collecting, too, but setting up such a poll is beyond my computer literacy, I'm afraid!

I'm 56 years old and won my first baseball card when I was flipping against a brick wall in Kindergarten when I was 6. It was a 1968 Topps Rookie Stars with Lou Piniella...

Been collecting ever since...sometimes more active than others, but NEVER quit the Hobby!

obcbobd 12-19-2018 12:01 PM

Would it not be possible to extract DOB from the user database? That might give a good answer

brianp-beme 12-19-2018 01:11 PM

Since this thread was first concocted, I have slid further down the vintage collecting bell curve toward the inevitable oblivion.

Brian

Jay Wolt 12-19-2018 01:17 PM

If this thread was revived from 4 years ago, then aren't the #'s skewed?
As many of us have slid into the next bracket

Stampsfan 12-19-2018 01:43 PM

Agreed with above. I'm slipping into another bracket on Ground Hog's Day.

Bram99 12-19-2018 09:53 PM

The mean
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BicycleSpokes (Post 1332051)
Thank you all so much for the great voter turnout!

After an "official" 24 hour sampling period, here are some results for the Net54 age distribution poll:

Total population sampled: 289
mean age: 45.4 years
median age: 44.5 years
standard deviation: 11.6 years
skewness: 0.132

For the mean and other statistics, I just assumed a mean value for each age group i.e. 14.5, 24.5, 34.5, etc.. While not perfect, this is easier than compiling the nearly 300 values by hand! (and also gets to within a few years of the mean values Leon mentioned previously in the thread, as a gut check.)

More than the mean, I am personally actually most interested in the skewness, which is a measure of how asymmetric the distribution is about the mean. The slightly positive skewness means that the distribution is actually "leftward leaning" compared to a perfectly symmetric normal distribution i.e. leaning towards the younger population (e.g. the 30s outweigh the 50s; also the "most likely" median age is less than the mean). I was actually expecting the opposite, so this is a pleasant surprise. This in particular would seem to point to a rather healthy, possibly growing, active Net54 population. In fact, given that many potential collectors won't have much disposable income until around say 30 (at least I know I didn't), this may create an artificial lower age barrier to entering the hobby, hence the leftward lean might be even more pronounced than indicated by the raw statistics (I am only speculating here). On the other hand, as many of you noted, the online sampling might also skew young compared to the pre-war collecting population as a whole. In any event, a graph of the 24-hour sampling results is attached as a JPEG file, in case anybody is interested.

If it doesn't annoy you guys too much, I would like to repeat this "census survey" at approximately annual periods, and continually add the new yearly results onto the chart below. I don't expect much difference year to year necessarily, but over say 5 or 10 years, I am curious if any noticeable and consistent drifts can be observed. (Sorry, I am an engineer / scientist, and just like doing these sorts of things! Also, anybody who has actual expertise in statistics, polling, etc. is very welcome to weight in!)

Thank you all again for participating (the poll remains open).

Cheers,
David

There are actually more nice than mean, but there are certainly a few mean.

OLDBILL 12-19-2018 11:17 PM

"Given the choice between being right or kind, - choose kind."

GregZakwin 12-19-2018 11:40 PM

New-ish to the site
 
29

GasHouseGang 12-20-2018 12:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GregZakwin (Post 1838023)
29

Huh, look at that. I'm equal to two Gregs!

midmo 12-20-2018 01:07 AM

I'm 47 so at least I haven't changed brackets since this poll came out. :) I've been collecting on and off since late 1979.

stlcardsfan 12-20-2018 08:57 AM

Just turned 52.

Forever Young 12-20-2018 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jay Wolt (Post 1837866)
If this thread was revived from 4 years ago, then aren't the #'s skewed?
As many of us have slid into the next bracket

Yep:)

alywa 12-20-2018 09:19 AM

45. Collected during the junk era, but mostly concentrated on post-war HOF players. Renewed collecting 2 years ago, mostly pre-war HOF now.

darin2200 12-20-2018 10:28 AM

When are we doing the weight poll, maybe using BMI to account for height?

I'm guessing sorting sports cards doesn't keep us very lean.

hehehehe. J\K

gregr2 12-20-2018 10:33 AM

I'm in the same bracket I was 4 years ago and have 3 years till I hit the next one. :eek:

hcv123 12-20-2018 12:17 PM

Well, not quite 8.....
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by obcbobd (Post 1331797)
I mean there must be some 8 year old collectors.


Bob

My son is 11 and VERY into the prewar cards!

hcv123 12-20-2018 12:18 PM

You have to start it!!!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by darin2200 (Post 1838093)
When are we doing the weight poll, maybe using BMI to account for height?

I'm guessing sorting sports cards doesn't keep us very lean.

hehehehe. J\K

That is too good - Please start that one - BMI poll!!

CurtisFlood 12-20-2018 12:52 PM

70. Heading toward obsolescence.

jchcollins 12-20-2018 02:01 PM

I'll be 42 in Feb. Collecting has had several phases:

* Ages 9 - 14: Intro and pretty much hardcore. Bought new wax constantly with any money I had, and got into vintage.

* Ages 15 - 20: Gee collecting cards sure is nerdy. Everything sat in boxes and on shelves at mom and dad's while I did high school, college, and attempted to be cool and get girls.

* Age 21: Holy crap you can buy old baseball cards in online auctions! Spent my last year in college being a total nerd again, participating in random auctions that don't even exist anymore, and found eBay for the first time.

* Ages 22 - 24: Dabbled, but not much. Was busy getting engaged and married.

* Ages 26 - 28: Grad school. No time for baseball cards.

* Ages 29 - 32: Kids being born. What's sleep? Baseball, what's that?

* Roughly 32 -37: Probably should pay attention to this CAREER...

* Age 38: Dammit, this has to stop. You love baseball and cards too much. Joined Net54 and have been back fairly active (if not totally consistent with a collecting focus...) ever since. :)

topcat61 12-20-2018 02:01 PM

I actually started collecting vintage (1886-1960) when I was 15 when the 1994 Baseball Strike happened. I think I only got my drivers license so I could go to card shows.

h2oya311 12-20-2018 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jchcollins (Post 1838130)
I'll be 42 in Feb. Collecting has had several phases:

* Ages 9 - 14: Intro and pretty much hardcore. Bought new wax constantly with any money I had, and got into vintage.

* Ages 15 - 20: Gee collecting cards sure is nerdy. Everything sat in boxes and on shelves at mom and dad's while I did high school, college, and attempted to be cool and get girls.

* Age 21: Holy crap you can buy old baseball cards in online auctions! Spent my last year in college being a total nerd again, participating in random auctions that don't even exist anymore, and found eBay for the first time.

* Ages 22 - 24: Dabbled, but not much. Was busy getting engaged and married.

* Ages 26 - 28: Grad school. No time for baseball cards.

* Age 38: Dammit, this has to stop. You love baseball and cards too much. Joined Net54 and have been back fairly active (if not totally consistent with a collecting focus...) ever since. :)

what happened from 28-38??

jchcollins 12-20-2018 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by h2oya311 (Post 1838133)
what happened from 28-38??

LOL Go back and look, I edited it. This was not an exact science.

Keith H. Thompson 12-20-2018 02:59 PM

Older Group
 
88 and increasingly dismayed by the greed and fraud in the hobby.

TPA may have been a "sufficient" reason to eliminate the "wild west" of
authentiction, but it was never a "necessary" reason.

TPA is a "necessary" reason to establish an illusion of independent
authentication where a very few individuals can control the pricing.

But so was the "wild west," except that collectors could pick and choose
among dealers who built their reputations on integrity, accurate grading and
fair pricing, and those who did not. It would appear that the latter may still
be among us.

ls7plus 12-20-2018 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Leon (Post 1331774)
We have had these polls over the years and it's always fun to see a new one. Our average age used to be about 44 yrs old, last poll I think I figured it to be around 42 yrs old. Seems about right.... It's always good to see the "younger than 40yr old guys" collecting pre-war and vintage. Most know but I just turned 53 (not that it matters).

A huge +!. It is tremendous for me to see that nearly 62% of all who responded by the time of this post were in their 40's or younger! Technically, I'm 66 (how in the world did THAT happen?), but that's really just my disguise. Inside, I remain 27! On the other hand, having been doing this since about 1989 often lends perspective and the experience necessary to spot trends.

Way to go guys,

Larry

wazoo 12-20-2018 07:34 PM

22 in 4 days...still the maturity of a 12 year old...

irv 12-20-2018 08:51 PM

I'll be 55 next May and fully retired in July. :)

BruceinGa 12-21-2018 06:48 AM

Since I'll turn 70 this coming September I'm able to play senior softball on the best 70+ Major Plus softball team in the nation! Still loving it!:D

frankbmd 12-21-2018 08:23 AM

I support the original ages in this poll. Bob Dylan is with me in this effort as I listen to him sing “Forever Young”. In my case most would consider forever old more appropriate, but at least for the time being I sort of like the “forever” part.
;)

barrysloate 12-21-2018 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by frankbmd (Post 1838340)
I support the original ages in this poll. Bob Dylan is with me in this effort as I listen to him sing “Forever Young”. In my case most would consider forever old more appropriate, but at least for the time being I sort of like the “forever” part.
;)

I quoted Dylan's "My Back Pages" at post #34. Coping with aging is a recurrent theme in his music. And I am dealing with it myself.:(

mrvster 12-21-2018 11:37 PM

very great info
 
pretty even distributiom

TMKenKen 12-23-2018 09:49 AM

A number of us are!!

esd10 12-23-2018 02:32 PM

I'm 37 but somedays fell like I'm 60

svtPONY95 12-23-2018 03:13 PM

57 and still love the hobby.

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

ls7plus 12-23-2018 04:43 PM

At present, it appears that about 63% of our members are in their 40's or younger, which bodes quite well for the future of our hobby and its' continued growth.

Happy holidays,

Larry

Jim65 12-23-2018 06:55 PM

53

Tao_Moko 12-24-2018 07:32 AM

I started collecting prewar in 1986 at 10 yrs old. My net54 was Lew Lipset. Thanks Lew! Those catalogs were like Christmas.


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