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-   -   CLCT stock down 9.13% today (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=269744)

chalupacollects 06-03-2019 02:57 PM

CLCT stock down 9.13% today
 
OK stocks generally drop a bit after declaring a dividend but over 9% in one day may mean word is getting around... plus another $3.88% so far today - 6/4/2019. Surely the coffee is brewing in the boardroom by now.

jhs5120 06-03-2019 03:08 PM

I actually sold my stock on 5/29 because of this.

Bicem 06-03-2019 03:15 PM

Short it. More room to fall in my opinion as word spreads.

Rhotchkiss 06-03-2019 03:17 PM

Love this. PSA needs to address this scandal and ultimately its grading standards/procedures. Nothing will get a public company to act quicker than falling stock prices.

joshuanip 06-03-2019 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bicem (Post 1884497)
Short it. More room to fall in my opinion as word spreads.


It's not the shorts, the borrow actually increased from Friday and the borrow rate remains at 2%. Also, we are talking just about 1MM market value traded today, too small to make it count for the book. This is just retail selling. But it has the same affect/pressure!

Peter_Spaeth 06-03-2019 03:35 PM

On something like this I would defer to investment professionals who understand the risks and advantages of shorting and the dynamics of a particular security, I wouldn't do it just as a casual investor who thinks based on some message board activity the stock is going down. People who do stuff like that get eaten alive. Now a professional may well evaluate all the facts and say yeah it's a good risk, just saying it's complicated.

joshuanip 06-03-2019 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1884510)
On something like this I would defer to investment professionals who understand the risks and advantages of shorting, I wouldn't do it just as a casual investor who thinks based on some message board activity the stock is going down. People who do stuff like that get eaten alive. Now a professional may well evaluate all the facts and say yeah it's a good risk, just saying it's complicated.


A professional would look at it and say - its too small and event risk is not yet defined... ;)

CuriousGeorge 06-03-2019 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joshuanip (Post 1884503)
It's not the shorts, the borrow actually increased from Friday and the borrow rate remains at 2%. Also, we are talking just about 1MM market value traded today, too small to make it count for the book. This is just retail selling. But it has the same affect/pressure!

There was short pressure on the stock all day. Problem is it’s so thinly traded any selling pushed it down so don’t confuse a slightly elevated volume day with just retail selling. Hard to sell a lot when there’s no buyers and market makers won’t take volume.

joshuanip 06-03-2019 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CuriousGeorge (Post 1884516)
There was short pressure on the stock all day. Problem is it’s so thinly traded any selling pushed it down so don’t confuse a slightly elevated volume day with just retail selling. Hard to sell a lot when there’s no buyers and market makers won’t take volume.

short interest <1% of float.

calvindog 06-03-2019 03:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1884510)
On something like this I would defer to investment professionals who understand the risks and advantages of shorting and the dynamics of a particular security, I wouldn't do it just as a casual investor who thinks based on some message board activity the stock is going down. People who do stuff like that get eaten alive. Now a professional may well evaluate all the facts and say yeah it's a good risk, just saying it's complicated.

Are you nuts? You’d defer to an investment professional instead of shooting your fool mouth off about something you have no education or experience in? What is wrong with you?

Peter_Spaeth 06-03-2019 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 1884530)
Are you nuts? You’d defer to an investment professional instead of shooting your fool mouth off about something you have no education or experience in? What is wrong with you?

lolz

swarmee 06-03-2019 04:03 PM

https://media1.tenor.com/images/c303...temid=10102725

I like how the quote resembles the "bring the pain" phrase.

Edit 2: Disclaimer: This is not to be considered financial advice.

Bicem 06-03-2019 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 1884530)
Are you nuts? You’d defer to an investment professional instead of shooting your fool mouth off about something you have no education or experience in? What is wrong with you?

Where's the fun in that?

CuriousGeorge 06-03-2019 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joshuanip (Post 1884520)
short interest <1% of float.

Not a ton of stock available to borrow.

joshuanip 06-03-2019 04:18 PM

I see 1M available at MS. Im sure GS has similar size, its easy institutional borrow.

egbeachley 06-03-2019 04:22 PM

Still up 60% for the year.........

CuriousGeorge 06-03-2019 04:24 PM

Won’t be for long.

pgconboy 06-03-2019 05:37 PM

Hopefully they drop another 9% tomorrow.

the 'stache 06-03-2019 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1884510)
On something like this I would defer to investment professionals who understand the risks and advantages of shorting and the dynamics of a particular security, I wouldn't do it just as a casual investor who thinks based on some message board activity the stock is going down. People who do stuff like that get eaten alive. Now a professional may well evaluate all the facts and say yeah it's a good risk, just saying it's complicated.

You have more sense than the average investor trading on margin, at least in my personal experience.

Oh, how I hope to see NASDAQ delist CLCT at some point in the not too distant future.

Dpeck100 06-04-2019 08:14 AM

Interesting to watch CLCT trade. It is amazing how 100 share lots can move this stock so easily.

These guys putting on their little short positions are just racing it lower and if they want to cover will race it right back up.

The bid ask spread on this stock makes it such a challenging trading stock.

It will be interesting to see what happens with this 2,700 share offer right here.

Republicaninmass 06-04-2019 08:29 AM

Y'all realize it's doubled since January? 9% down could be just profit taking. Wait the sky is falling

Dpeck100 06-04-2019 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Republicaninmass (Post 1884766)
Y'all realize it's doubled since January? 9% down could be just profit taking. Wait the sky is falling

It may very well be just that.

These guys saying they were going to short it and buy puts definitely did yesterday. The open interest in the January 2020 Puts moved up a lot. Those are very tough options to be playing with.

Scott L. 06-04-2019 09:16 AM

Do the folks openly wishing for the demise of PSA & CLCT not own any PSA graded cards? Do they care that many people on this board could be materially affected by that outcome? Some of those people whom they would proabbly consider a friend.

Seems like a curious stance to me.

swarmee 06-04-2019 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884801)
Do the folks openly wishing for the demise of PSA & CLCT not own any PSA graded cards? Do they care that many people on this board could be materially affected by that outcome? Some of those people whom they would proabbly consider a friend.

Seems like a curious stance to me.

The fraud is so pervasive we should just let it keep happening!

Scott L. 06-04-2019 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swarmee (Post 1884809)
The fraud is so pervasive we should just let it keep happening!

Yeah John that's exactly what I'm saying.

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884801)
Do the folks openly wishing for the demise of PSA & CLCT not own any PSA graded cards? Do they care that many people on this board could be materially affected by that outcome? Some of those people whom they would proabbly consider a friend.

Seems like a curious stance to me.

Scott puts his finger on exactly why the truth has stayed beneath the surface for so long. Why dealers and major collectors who absolutely knew the extent of this kept quiet. Why it took a few guys on BO, like the kid who pointed out the emperor had no clothes, to open the can of worms.

Scott L. 06-04-2019 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1884824)
Scott puts his finger on exactly why the truth has stayed beneath the surface for so long. Why dealers and major collectors who absolutely knew the extent of this kept quiet. Why it took a few guys on BO, like the kid who pointed out the emperor had no clothes, to open the can of worms.

Good point Peter, thank you. I agree. Maybe there is no happy medium or fair resolution other than a complete tear down. That was what I was getting at. Is there one?

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 09:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884828)
Good point Peter, thank you. I agree. Maybe there is no happy medium or fair resolution other than a complete tear down. That was what I was getting at. Is there one?

I don't know. I am hoping there is a way to weed out the bad bricks without collapsing the house, but I don't know what it is.

steve B 06-04-2019 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884816)
Yeah John that's exactly what I'm saying.

So given that they're either crooked, or totally incompetent you think we should still trust their grades and opinions?
So that people who bought the hype don't lose money....

If they're crooked, yes they should fail.
If they have no idea what they're doing, they need to get a clue quickly.

I have a few PSA cards, a few more SGC, a couple Beckett, I think one GAI, and one Acu-Card, and maybe one or two others.

Acu-Card couldn't spot trimming either....
http://www.net54baseball.com/picture...pictureid=6171

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by steve B (Post 1884833)
So given that they're either crooked, or totally incompetent you think we should still trust their grades and opinions?
So that people who bought the hype don't lose money....

If they're crooked, yes they should fail.
If they have no idea what they're doing, they need to get a clue quickly.

I have a few PSA cards, a few more SGC, a couple Beckett, I think one GAI, and one Acu-Card, and maybe one or two others.

Acu-Card couldn't spot trimming either....
http://www.net54baseball.com/picture...pictureid=6171

Alan Hager indeed.

vintagetoppsguy 06-04-2019 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by steve B (Post 1884833)
So given that they're either crooked, or totally incompetent you think we should still trust their grades and opinions?
So that people who bought the hype don't lose money....

If they're crooked, yes they should fail.
If they have no idea what they're doing, they need to get a clue quickly yes they should fail as well.

I have a few PSA cards, a few more SGC, a couple Beckett, I think one GAI, and one Acu-Card, and maybe one or two others.

I agree with you with one minor correction.

swarmee 06-04-2019 10:11 AM

I know I am asking a lot God, but would you spare this company if there are 100 tainted slabs? And if I survey and find 1000 tainted slabs, will you save this company? I may be impertinent, will you save PSA if there are only 10,000 tainted slabs?

perezfan 06-04-2019 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884801)
Do the folks openly wishing for the demise of PSA & CLCT not own any PSA graded cards? Do they care that many people on this board could be materially affected by that outcome? Some of those people whom they would proabbly consider a friend.

Seems like a curious stance to me.

I knew this attitude was widespread, but this is the most clearly I have seen it articulated yet...

We may (and should) take some short-term financial hits, but purely for the betterment of the hobby on a long-term basis. Another TPG or two will undoubtedly emerge when PSA goes down. Or perhaps raw cards will make a comeback. I am hoping for the latter, as I personally feel TPGs corrupt the hobby and their grades do not do not accurately convey a card's true condition or aesthetic appeal.

If they could simply (and correctly) identify a card as altered or original, and let us decide the number grade for ourselves, then I might feel differently. But they cannot even detect obvious alterations at this point. So under this current system... What's the point of having it?

T206Collector 06-04-2019 10:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott L. (Post 1884801)
Do the folks openly wishing for the demise of PSA & CLCT not own any PSA graded cards? Do they care that many people on this board could be materially affected by that outcome? Some of those people whom they would proabbly consider a friend.

Seems like a curious stance to me.

I am wishing less for the demise of PSA and more for the rise of a TPG that can restore confidence to a market that has been undone by the internet, which ironically fueled the fire for so long. This is the first time in the hobby's history that before and after pics are so prevalent. It is what exposed the signed T206 scandal, and it is what is exposing all of this awful tampering.

Even though I have dozens of autographed pre-war cards, I say shine the light on the fraud. Let's get this mess cleaned up and do things the right way. I don't have a viable solution, but that doesn't mean I want to live with the problem.

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 10:24 AM

I am sure many people are evaluating whether to sell or reduce. Including me. It's really sad that it's reached this point, but so it goes. Thanks to all the perpetrators, much appreciated. Good for the hobby indeed.

T206Collector 06-04-2019 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1884853)
I am sure many people are evaluating whether to sell or reduce. Including me. It's really sad that it's reached this point, but so it goes. Thanks to all the perpetrators, much appreciated. Good for the hobby indeed.

I've just narrowed my purchasing substantially. I was picking up some unsigned cards for awhile, but want to shift my focus towards raw or low grade items. Going forward, I'll be searching histories of cards online before putting down any meaningful money. But the 20+ years I've been picking up the occasional PSA 5 or SGC 60 T206 card on a whim? Not again until there's a better mousetrap.

Exhibitman 06-04-2019 10:30 AM

I wouldn't mind seeing TPGs crash and burn as a whole, or at least have their influence over the financial fortunes of collectors greatly diminished.

I hope this scandal convinces the great mass of collectors that TPGs are unnecessary to their collecting and that they would be much happier if they weren't chasing plastic cases and getting all bunged up over what number some jackhole slaps on the score sheet.

I hope there will be and end to my having to spend the money and time to get cards graded for sale so that the average buyer won't think there is something wrong with the card, when I damned well know that there is something wrong with so many slabbed cards.

I hope that one day I won't have to store and ship these stupid f***ing plastic tombstones.

Scott L. 06-04-2019 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T206Collector (Post 1884851)
I am wishing less for the demise of PSA and more for the rise of a TPG that can restore confidence to a market that has been undone by the internet, which ironically fueled the fire for so long. This is the first time in the hobby's history that before and after pics are so prevalent. It is what exposed the signed T206 scandal, and it is what is exposing all of this awful tampering.

Even though I have dozens of autographed pre-war cards, I say shine the light on the fraud. Let's get this mess cleaned up and do things the right way. I don't have a viable solution, but that doesn't mean I want to live with the problem.

Thanks for all the thoughtful responses. It would be interesting to see what a new TPG would look like. It certainly couldn’t operate to the massive scale of PSA and expected to be effective.

Market up big today and CLCT down around 3%.

steve B 06-04-2019 11:42 AM

I believe PSA will survive, with a few ifs
If they aren't complicit at the management level.
And if they manage to get it together enough to restore confidence.

The Philatelic Foundation, which has an excellent reputation went through a similar scandal in the mid 80's, and actually has someone on the inside involved. They did a lot of work to rebuild confidence, and it took quite some time. At the time, they didn't grade, just authenticated.

https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/...069-story.html

At the moment, all three companies have had what are pretty major issues. They'll all need to address that in one way or another.
SGC has abandoned doing autographs, probably the right move.
What PSA will do about so many altered cards getting through, or what Beckett will do about a former employee getting what appears to be favorable treatment, we'll have to wait for.

sportscardtheory 06-04-2019 11:50 AM

I find it strange, the people downplaying and minimizing this situation. A card in a PSA or BGS slab is supposed to PROTECT us from fraud, not CONCEAL fraud. They have literally failed at the most basic level of their business' mission statements. They have essentially destroyed all faith in their "product", but it's gonna pass over and people are gonna forget? Okay. They sell peace of mind. Well, nice job. EVERY PSA/BGS graded card is suspect now.

ullmandds 06-04-2019 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sportscardtheory (Post 1884889)
I find it strange, the people downplaying and minimizing this situation. A card in a PSA or BGS slab is supposed to PROTECT us from fraud, not CONCEAL fraud. They have literally failed at the most basic level of their business' mission statements. They have essentially destroyed all faith in their "product", but it's gonna pass over and people are gonna forget? Okay. They sell peace of mind. Well, nice job. EVERY PSA/BGS graded card is suspect now.

yup!

robkas68 06-04-2019 12:36 PM

Burn it down?
 
I understand the anger, but letting it burn is not exactly an answer. Yes, everybody feels better if a couple people go to jail, but let’s face it that there are a lot of innocent people that are hurt by this. On a smaller scale, it is no different than the housing crisis. A bunch of people did a bunch of terrible things that created a bubble and the crash, but they were not the ones that paid. Yes, a couple people went to jail, but not many.

I never bought a house I couldn’t afford or speculated on real estate, but when I sold my single family middle class home in Florida because I took a new job, I lost 95k. I am fortunate enough that 95k didn’t effect my ability to feed my family but some people lost everything (and they were not the speculators).

When I suggest we start a trade association I understand the hurdles involved, time, money, acceptance, etc. This scandal only brought to light what we already sort of knew, that there are not a lot of controls to help keep it clean. That doesn’t mean it will be completely clean... the stock market isn’t despite the SEC. However, it is clean enough that people still view it as legitimate despite a history of scandals that still dwarf anything PWCC has ever done. Since the hobby will never be important enough to warrant the federal baseball card exchange commission, it is pretty much up to us.

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robkas68 (Post 1884914)
I understand the anger, but letting it burn is not exactly an answer. Yes, everybody feels better if a couple people go to jail, but let’s face it that there are a lot of innocent people that are hurt by this. On a smaller scale, it is no different than the housing crisis. A bunch of people did a bunch of terrible things that created a bubble and the crash, but they were not the ones that paid. Yes, a couple people went to jail, but not many.

I never bought a house I couldn’t afford or speculated on real estate, but when I sold my single family middle class home in Florida because I took a new job, I lost 95k. I am fortunate enough that 95k didn’t effect my ability to feed my family but some people lost everything (and they were not the speculators).

When I suggest we start a trade association I understand the hurdles involved, time, money, acceptance, etc. This scandal only brought to light what we already sort of knew, that there are not a lot of controls to help keep it clean. That doesn’t mean it will be completely clean... the stock market isn’t despite the SEC. However, it is clean enough that people still view it as legitimate despite a history of scandals that still dwarf anything PWCC has ever done. Since the hobby will never be important enough to warrant the federal baseball card exchange commission, it is pretty much up to us.

I am sure people will listen if you have a specific proposal, do you have one?

robkas68 06-04-2019 12:59 PM

proposal
 
Sure, I have some ideas. Getting on a plane, but I will throw some things out on this forum.

Fballguy 06-04-2019 01:02 PM

Why would any TPG that can't detect an altered card even be allowed to exist?

If you can't provide the service you're supposedly an expert at, why do we need you?

perezfan 06-04-2019 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fballguy (Post 1884922)
Why would any TPG that can't detect an altered card even be allowed to exist?

If you can't provide the service you're supposedly an expert at, why do we need you?

Maybe we would see a need for them if they'd get off their ass and issue a statement. Right now their lawyers are likely conjuring up some canned meaningless response, while the jury is out....

50% chance it's simple ineptitude
50% chance it's favorable treatment to preferred customers

Can't be much of anything else. Here's a novel idea... Just provide a truthful explanation. Otherwise they should indeed cease to exist.

Beastmode 06-04-2019 03:17 PM

CU pays a dividend. That's insane. Take that money and invest in technology that can detect what the card manipulators are doing. Create a business that can detect trimming/coloring/stretching, etc., and put a real guarantee on it. Then charge a boatload for that experience.

Peter_Spaeth 06-04-2019 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robkas68 (Post 1884921)
Sure, I have some ideas. Getting on a plane, but I will throw some things out on this forum.

Look forward to it.

aconte 06-04-2019 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T206Collector (Post 1884855)
I've just narrowed my purchasing substantially. I was picking up some unsigned cards for awhile, but want to shift my focus towards raw or low grade items. Going forward, I'll be searching histories of cards online before putting down any meaningful money. But the 20+ years I've been picking up the occasional PSA 5 or SGC 60 T206 card on a whim? Not again until there's a better mousetrap.


That's where I'm at too now!

Quote:

I am sure many people are evaluating whether to sell or reduce. Including me. It's really sad that it's reached this point, but so it goes. Thanks to all the perpetrators, much appreciated. Good for the hobby indeed.
Aint that the truth. This one really hurt. I've been dodging this stuff since
2002 or so in this format. The grading skills are just not there. The crooks
are just relentless and won't go away. I'm down to buying cheapo cards
from now on just to have some fun from time to time. It's over Johnny!

aconte 06-04-2019 07:06 PM

I'd like to hear from all those in the business including auction houses,
full time card dealers, and others why should anyone continue to drop
serious coin in this hobby? The statements made by the so called hobby
leaders have been pathetic the last day or so.

Do the dealers and auction houses care about their customers to hope
for change or are you hopeful this shit just goes away and if the damage
is we lose a couple collectors no biggie?


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