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					Originally Posted by bnorth  Trout is the IT player now but he isn't even as good as Pujols was. As soon as he has a bad year or injury his card prices will drop like a rock of a very tall cliff. | 
	
 Agreed, and that's what makes collecting modern cards completely different from collecting vintage.   You might consider Trout a "lock" to have a great career, but the same could be said for Mattingly, etc, early in their careers.
I would say that collecting cards such as this Trout - (which will never end up as a Carp, but possibly a Salmon) <=== see what I did there? - is more akin to collecting modern game-used than to collecting pre-war cards.