"The market" seems to strongly favor the RC shield/logo card as the true RC as far as 2006+ baseball cards.
Bowman 1st vs RC sales and popularity strongly backs this up.
One can view it as stupid or arbitrary, especially since early 2000s Bowman cards of guys who won't play in MLB for years are considered RCs...but aside from some 2005-2006 straddling cards (Verlander, most obviously) the market really gravitates toward the RC shield/logo cards as true RCs.
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