Betts is on track
Degrom is a HOF talent but he’s got less innings than some relievers and has only hit 162 to even qualify for league leads 4 times. He’s 34 year olds. I think he is unlikely, and while career length standards will lessen to reflect the new era, his totals are extremely low even in this context. I hope he stays healthy and aged well, I root for him. But I think it’s unlikely.
The other one that comes to mind as a possibility is Xander Bogaerts. 29, premium positions, consistently good stat line, 34.8 WAR so far. His similarity scores are hall of famers or guys who were on track before poor second half careers. The kind of guy who gets in if he ages well. Not a peak value dominator like Betts.
I’m probably forgetting someone, I don’t stay up on rookie cards much. Probably somebody we don’t guess also has a strong second half career, hits counting milestones, and makes it in as well.
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