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Old 09-07-2004, 05:59 AM
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Default Will Ichiro get the * from Maris?

Posted By: Gary B.

Ichiro now has 226 hits, and he needs 32 hits in the next 25 games to break the record and get him to 258, which is 1.28 hits per game.

He averages 4.36 official (not including walks) at bats per game, so he'll get about 109 more at bats, and will need a .294 average through the rest of the season to get 32 more hits. Hardly in the bag, but he could fall significantly from the pace he's been keeping as of late and still make it.

If he manages to stay on his amazing pace of batting .379 for those 109 at bats, he'll get 41 hits, bringing him to 267. - 9 more than he needs.

*** Now for those who care about the asterisk factor, even if there won't be one officially, Sisler hit an average of 1.66 hits per game over a 154 game season in which he played every game. For Ichiro to average 1.66 hits per game over a 162 game season, he'd have to get to 269 hits, or hit .394 for the rest of the season. Ichiro's been batting a lot higher than that over the last month (.473), so it's doable, but still that would be a fierce pace. Considering Ichiro missed a game and would only play 161 games, that would put him JUST over Sisler's pace.

Phew!

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