I don't think Kershaw has a realistic shot at winning if he only starts 20 or so games. He's at 16 right now and if he came back I don't think he'd get more than a handful of starts.
To me Bumgarner is the CY. His ERA is higher at 2.25 but he's also pitched 50 more innings, made 10 more starts, and has the highest WAR among pitchers in the NL. Hell, other than Kris Bryant he has the highest WAR out of everyone in the NL.
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