Survival Rate of N172 Old Judge

[Leon]

Originally Posted by oldjudge

100,000 is way too much. There are roughly 2500 different poses, which would mean 40 copies each on average. This number might be right for the more common poses, but way high for most (some are unique or have less than five copies). My guess would be 30,000-40,000.

Jay, I will never deny your expertise in N172. That being said, if I think of you and just 3-4 other guys, I probably get close to a third of the low number you said. My gut, from being in the hobby a few years, would lead me to believe the number is somewhere in the middle of your high estimate and 100,000. I am always the optimist in thinking there is a ton we have no idea about. And almost every month we hear about new finds of pre-war cards (if not Old Judges).....