An Analysis of the Yorktown Heights T 206 PSA 8 E-Bay Auction

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Posted By: John_B_California

Here's a T206 SGC 20 Bender that is quite short s/s,

http://cgi.ebay.com/1909-T206-T-206-Chief-Bender-Portrait-HOF-SGC-20-Nice_W0QQitemZ150029366946QQihZ005QQcategoryZ57993 QQrdZ1QQcmdZViewItem

And yet some fit exactly,

http://cgi.ebay.com/CHIEF-BENDER-T206-TREES-SWEET-CAPORAL-SGC-GAI-5_W0QQitemZ190031499532QQihZ009QQcategoryZ31718QQr dZ1QQcmdZViewItem

PSA certainly makes mistakes, and no one will get it 100% right all the time. Mastro has made mistakes (witness the Oscar statue fake this year), Lelands, no one is operating at 1,000 percent.

If it was as easy as taking an oversized card and trimming it down, I would have expected to see...

-More and more cards coming to the marketplace as prices have risen. It would be interesting to see changes in the pop report as prices have gone up. Goudey commons have exploded in value over the past 5-7 years (some up 1,000%+ and yet the numbers aren't even close to satisfying demand).

-Previously rare cards becoming easy. George C Millers, T204s, etc. That would make me pause.

-Greater discrepancies between the pop numbers of high dollar sets vs low dollar.

Consider 1933 Goudey Indian Gum vs '33 Goudey baseball. The Indian Gum set has a higher percentage of 7's, 8's and 9's as a percent of the total cards submitted (.22, .176, .0059 vs .12, .09, .0057).

'38 Horror of War vs '38 Goudey (.189, .209, .016 vs .16, .13, .007).

Some of the non sport numbers are very high ('35 Mickey Mouse, .33 of all cards submitted are an 8).

The comparisons aren't perfect. The high dollar baseball figures are more likely to be inflated by crackouts and resubmissions. Low dollar non sport cards aren't as likely to be submitted (not as much registry demand). But something to consider in this debate...