Hypothetical Value of Unopened Packs

[Carter08]

If there was a way to guarantee a pack has never been opened, just wondering what the value of unopened ones might be. Any thoughts on what the value of an unopened t206 cigarette pack, 1933 Goudey pack, 1952 topps pack, etc etc etc might be.

[JollyElm]

All sorts of other factors have to be added to the equation, like what (for Topps-era cards) series the pack is from, etc.

[jingram058]

https://net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=332745

This guy posts from time to time.

I have severe doubt when it comes to any supposed unopened packs, graded or otherwise. Just because something is incredibly expensive doesn't make it real. I'm not going to refinance my house over a pack of baseball cards, or any cards.

[steve B]

It's really all just based on a gamble over what cards or cards might be in the pack.

If I had the money, I'd pick up some more modern ones as uncommon items on their own. But not at the prices that assume it's got the important stars rather than just a common or two.

[Leon]

I think many, if not most, packs are worth more unopened. Such a gamble but it would be cool to pull a Wags or a Plank....or a T210 Jackson ...none of which I will ever afford unless I win the lottery.
.

[jchcollins]

I think the concept is very cool, and I admire those who are into high-end unopened - but I don't have near the risk tolerance I would need to play that game myself. I like watching YouTubers who bust unopened vintage like Just Collect, etc. But I would never pay hundreds or thousands of dollars myself to speculate on something like that. I too am leery of the fraud possibilities with that kind of stuff.

[CardPadre]

Just came across this thread and wanted to add an existing example for consideration and wild estimates of value.

What’s the estimated value of the ONLY PSA encapsulated Sport Kings pack?

The twist/bummer is you can tell exactly what card is in it and it’s a card that no one cares about.

Does that completely tank the value? No mystery in this pack, you know exactly what you’re getting…#9 Ed Blood.

[ahmanfan]

Wow, interesting nonetheless


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[frankbmd]

A quick search for Ed Blood produced only links for erectile dysfunction sites.

[frankbmd]

Originally Posted by frankbmd

A quick search for Ed Blood produced only links for erectile dysfunction sites.

To clarify my quandary, Ed J Blood was an Olympic Skier in 1932 and 1936, who never reached the podium. Now you don't need to bother looking him up.

[Carter08]

Originally Posted by frankbmd

A quick search for Ed Blood produced only links for erectile dysfunction sites.

This killed me

[BobbyStrawberry]

If you could have the contents of a newly opened 33 Goudey pack, but you had to chew the gum that came with it, would you do it?

[raulus]

Originally Posted by BobbyStrawberry

If you could have the contents of a newly opened 33 Goudey pack, but you had to chew the gum that came with it, would you do it?

All day long.

[GasHouseGang]

So I take it those are one card per pack. I wonder what the gum might have done to the card by now? Chances are it stuck to the back of the card anyway.

[CardPadre]

Originally Posted by GasHouseGang

So I take it those are one card per pack. I wonder what the gum might have done to the card by now? Chances are it stuck to the back of the card anyway.

My limited experience is that goudey gum in a foil wrapper doesn’t age well, but in a wax/paper wrapper it does much better. So might not be too bad.

[oldjudge]

Even if a pack is truly unopened it doesn’t mean it has average odds of getting a certain player. Suppose it is known that there cannot be more than two cards of the star player in any box. Someone buys the box and opens packs till he gets two cards of that player. Then he sells the remaining packs as unopened. Those packs would then have no chance of getting the star player.

[D. Bergin]

Originally Posted by oldjudge

Even if a pack is truly unopened it doesn’t mean it has average odds of getting a certain player. Suppose it is known that there cannot be more than two cards of the star player in any box. Someone buys the box and opens packs till he gets two cards of that player. Then he sells the remaining packs as unopened. Those packs would then have no chance of getting the star player.

Well if it’s 1981 Donruss there might still be 27 of that player left in the box.

[jingram058]

A supposedly untampered with, unopened pack is a curiosity to me and no more. That's as far as it goes. Zero chance I would pay what to me is a small fortune on the minute chance of some card maybe, but way more likely not, being in it.

[Republicaninmass]

Originally Posted by D. Bergin

Well if it’s 1981 Donruss there might still be 27 of that player left in the box.

Ha! I got about 7 checklists in one pack

[brianp-beme]

My guess is if you are Blood related you would care/be very interested in this unopened pack.

Brian

[CardPadre]

Originally Posted by brianp-beme

My guess is if you are Blood related you would care/be very interested in this unopened pack.

Brian

No, not even if you were related.

[nwobhm]

Originally Posted by Carter08

If there was a way to guarantee a pack has never been opened…..

Do you own a time machine?

[bmattioli]

My biggest regret of which is probably others is not buying the 1986 Fleer Basketball box or even a few packs when you could have for $9.00 per box or .25 cents per pack..

[Bigdaddy]

Originally Posted by bmattioli

My biggest regret of which is probably others is not buying the 1986 Fleer Basketball box or even a few packs when you could have for $9.00 per box or .25 cents per pack..

$5 per box around here (Rose's), and hand collated sets about the same at the local shows.