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#1
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Bill James did an interesting experiment where he compared the effect on an average team over a full season of adding a guy who just walked in every at bat versus Babe Ruth in his best season. The team was better with the walking guy. Williams drawing a walk was, I suspect, more valuable than Williams swinging at pitches he did not feel he could hit that were out of the strike zone. Anyhow it's just wild speculation on your part.
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Four phrases I have coined that sum up today's hobby: No consequences. Stuff trumps all. The flip is the commoodity. Animal Farm grading. |
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#2
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We are never going to agree on this, but to me zero rings is evidence that this walk first approach wins at fantasy baseball, but doesn't produce real championships. It's not like Williams didn't play on some good teams. You can give him a pass, I won't. |
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#3
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Historically, walks correlate very nicely with scoring runs. Take a look at this table. This is a run expectancy table. Basically, it's a calculation of how many runs teams score, on average, given a particular combination of base runners and outs. From 2010-2015, the no-one-on, no-one-out state, led, on average, to a team scoring .481 runs. A runner on first, no one out, led, on average, to a team scoring .859 runs. There's nothing fantasy baseball about this, it's just a record of what happened over a five-year stretch in MLB. Getting a runner at the start of an inning almost doubles the number of runs you can expect to score.
Other base-out states may be less dramatic, but a walk is still really good. Consider runners on 1st and 2nd, no one out. On average, that leads to 1.437 runs. Now look at bases loaded no one out. On average, that leads to 2.292 runs. The number of runs you can expect to score goes up, even though you didn't drive in those runners, because now there are more runners on base who can be driven in. (Even by a walk, in this case!) |
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#4
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Four phrases I have coined that sum up today's hobby: No consequences. Stuff trumps all. The flip is the commoodity. Animal Farm grading. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 07-08-2017 at 04:08 PM. |
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#5
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anyone who would dismiss Ted Williams' frankly AMAZING career because they walked too much and didn't win a ring is so amazingly obtuse that their opinion on everything from soup to nuts should be called into question as well as their sanity.
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"The large print giveth and the small print taketh away."- Tom Waits Last edited by bravos4evr; 07-10-2017 at 06:39 PM. |
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#6
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__________________
Four phrases I have coined that sum up today's hobby: No consequences. Stuff trumps all. The flip is the commoodity. Animal Farm grading. |
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#7
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Nick probably knows this, but I bet there are graphs and charts showing that even the best hitters fall way off in terms of hitting stats on balls outside the strike zone.
__________________
Four phrases I have coined that sum up today's hobby: No consequences. Stuff trumps all. The flip is the commoodity. Animal Farm grading. |
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#8
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indeed, unless you are a real freak like Vlad Guerrero (who somehow kept good stats even with a high swing rate on balls out of the zone), a batter should attempt to swing at strikes and not at balls. Better contact, better quality of contact and, .....................wait for it...................... better launch angles and exit velocities!
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"The large print giveth and the small print taketh away."- Tom Waits Last edited by bravos4evr; 07-10-2017 at 06:43 PM. |
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#9
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There is a saying in the Dominican: you can't walk off the island. Young hitters there hate walking because it takes away from their ability to showcase their power, which they know is key to playing in America.
Last edited by packs; 07-11-2017 at 10:12 AM. |
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#10
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My point (and the sportswriter's) is that you can't judge a ballplayer's ability solely on championships. Williams was a great hitter, and if the Red Sox didn't have enough pitching to match the Yankees this shouldn't diminish his reputation. |
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#11
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DiMaggio also had Gehrig at the beginning, Berra at the end, and Dickey, Gordon, Keller, Henrich, Rizzuto, and others I am forgetting in between.
__________________
Four phrases I have coined that sum up today's hobby: No consequences. Stuff trumps all. The flip is the commoodity. Animal Farm grading. |
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#12
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Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %) |
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