2002 Topps 206 Odds and Oddities - Joey Votto

[Aj-hman]

Originally Posted by bn2cardz

The mini back odds aren't listed anywhere, other than the Bazooka, Drum, Lenox, and AB as those were limited to 30 or less. Though based on these numbers we can assume there were approx. 371,100 packs distributed for Series 3 (Since Votto is in Series 3 and started this off in the fist place).

If we go off that approximate number of packs with one mini per pack there should be 371,100 minis. Subtract out the 625 Baz, Drum, Lenox and AB and you are left with 370,475 distributed over the other brand backs. If my box pull was typical the distribution should look like this:

240,809 Polar Bear
55,571 Sweet Cap Red
37,048 Sweet Cap Blue
18,524 Sweet Cap Black
18,524 Uzit

There were 165 subjects so for any particular subject I would think it is close to these numbers:
1459 PB
337 SC Red
225 SC Blue
112 SC Black
112 UZIT

Of course this is based off the small sample size of one box and expecting the BAZ, Drum, Lenox odds are correct (The AB odds worked out to more packs).

This should still be helpful for people like myself when it comes to looking for any particular backs.

Here is a larger sample size from this release. It may change the Sweet Caporal Black numbers. I am not a stats guy but thought I would put it out there if anyone wanted to crunch some numbers.

2003 Topps 206 Case Break 9/10 boxes

Box1
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBlk Roberts
1 Uzit Carter
GU Palmerio
GU Garciparra

Box 2
13 PB
3 SCR
1 SCB
2 SCBlk
1 Uzit
GU Johnson
GU Menkwitch
GU Gwynn

Box 3
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBLK
1 Uzit
GU Vaughn
GU Rodriguez
Auto Bradley

Box 4
13 PB
3 SCR
1 SCB
2 SCBLK
1 Uzit A. Rodriguez Blue Jersey
GU Gonzalez
GU Tejada
Buyback T206 Weimer SOV 150

Box 5
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBLK
1 Uzit

Box 6
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBLK Upton
1 Uzit
GU Dunn
GU Schilling
GU Palmerio

Box 7
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBLK
1 Uzit
GU Piazza
GU Edmonds
Buyback T206 Lennox Piedmont 350

Box 8
12 PB
4 SCR
1 SCB
1 SCBLK
1 Uzit
*1 Lenox Alex Rodriguez
GU Tejada
Auto Thames

Box 9
13 PB
3 SCR
1 SCB
2 SCBLK
1 Uzit Halladay
GU Dunn
GU Palmerio
Auto Lopez

Additional Box Break Not from Case
13 PB
3 SCR
2 SCB
1 SCBLK
1 Uzit Meyers
GU Piazza
GU Patterson