Next to 3000 hits? Maybe no one?

[packs]

Definitely would be tough but he gets up into the 170-195 range when fully healthy and age doesn’t seem to slowing him. He’s swiped 28 bags so far this year too. Maybe there are some 200 hit seasons ahead of him.

[jayshum]

Originally Posted by packs

Definitely would be tough but he gets up into the 170-195 range when fully healthy and age doesn’t seem to slowing him. He’s swiped 28 bags so far this year too. Maybe there are some 200 hit seasons ahead of him.

His next 200 hit season will be his first. As a Phillies fan, I'd love to see a bunch of them, but I'm not holding my breath.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Here's something interesting (to me anyhow). The two best players with RCs in 2015 are both shortstops, Lindor and Correa. Same for 2016 -- Turner and Seager. The odds have to be somewhat against that.

[jayshum]

Originally Posted by jayshum

His next 200 hit season will be his first. As a Phillies fan, I'd love to see a bunch of them, but I'm not holding my breath.

Trea Turner has 14 hits in his last 5 games. If he keeps up that pace, I will change my opinion on him getting to 3000.

[packs]

He had seasons of 195 and 194. He’s up to 158 now and halfway to 3,000.

[D. Bergin]

There's a bunch of guys on the 3000 hit club who never got to 200 for a single season...so it's not a prerequisite if you are able to stick around long enough.

There may be the catch though.

Money might be an incentive for players to stick around longer nowadays, but analytics (both monetarily and statistically) is a reason owners and GM's may not want to hang on to a player long past their expiration date, just to get to those milestones.

Everything is about "efficiency" nowadays. Teams are now willing to DFA guys on huge contracts just to open up a roster spot.

Miguel Cabrera hanging on for 7 Replacement level and below seasons on a legacy contract with the Tigers could very well be one of the last exceptions to that we see.

[Aquarian Sports Cards]

Originally Posted by D. Bergin

There's a bunch of guys on the 3000 hit club who never got to 200 for a single season...so it's not a prerequisite if you are able to stick around long enough.

There may be the catch though.

Money might be an incentive for players to stick around longer nowadays, but analytics (both monetarily and statistically) is a reason owners and GM's may not want to hang on to a player long past their expiration date, just to get to those milestones.

Everything is about "efficiency" nowadays. Teams are now willing to DFA guys on huge contracts just to open up a roster spot.

Miguel Cabrera hanging on for 7 Replacement level and below seasons on a legacy contract with the Tigers could very well be one of the last exceptions to that we see.

Ichiro had 8 or 9 lousy years compared to replacement level. He was worth it for bad teams to help sell tickets though.

[D. Bergin]

Originally Posted by Aquarian Sports Cards

Ichiro had 8 or 9 lousy years compared to replacement level. He was worth it for bad teams to help sell tickets though.

Ichiro though, was at least a serviceable utility outfielder at the end of his career, who got paid like a serviceable utility outfielder.

He also had a nice little comeback season in 2016 in Miami. Not mindblowing, but much better then he had been trending.

That said, how many of the guys left chasing 3000 right now, could be considered "ticket sellers"?

[jayshum]

Originally Posted by packs

He had seasons of 195 and 194. He’s up to 158 now and halfway to 3,000.

He's played 10 seasons (not counting a brief appearance in 2015) so he's averaged around 150 hits per season. By the end of this season, maybe that's up to 155. He's signed for 8 more years (until age 40) so he will need to average close to 180 hits per season as he ages to get to 3000 by the time his current contract expires. Is it possible? Sure, and as a Phillies fan, I hope it happens, but realistically, it seems unlikely that he would do that much better in his mid to late 30s than he did in his 20s. If he's reasonably close to 3000, maybe he signs another contract to try to hang on and get there.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Originally Posted by jayshum

His next 200 hit season will be his first. As a Phillies fan, I'd love to see a bunch of them, but I'm not holding my breath.

His next 200 hit season, IF he has one, will also be his last. I don't think his chances are realistic. Machado has a much better chance, and even he is very far from a lock.

[Peter_Spaeth]

Freeman just a couple shy of 2400 now. Still at the top his game or close, hitting .300.