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  #1  
Old 08-11-2021, 02:25 PM
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Peter_Spaeth Peter_Spaeth is offline
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Snow, very much appreciate the time you took. Other than that Mrs. Lincoln how was the play.

This should put a stop to all the lofty talk we've heard from people about how AI is going to be a game changer.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 08-11-2021 at 02:28 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-11-2021, 02:27 PM
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Jeffrey Kuhr
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Snow, very much appreciate the time you took.
+1 Great job and great detail. Better understanding now. Long way to go
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Looking for
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1921 Frederick Foto Ruth
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1910 Old Mills Joe Jackson
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1911 Pinkerton Joe Jackson
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  #3  
Old 08-11-2021, 03:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Snow, very much appreciate the time you took. Other than that Mrs. Lincoln how was the play.

This should put a stop to all the lofty talk we've heard from people about how AI is going to be a game changer.
I'd be a poor data scientist if I didn't also point out this this is just my opinion. I could be wrong, and if so, it wouldn't be the first time I was proven wrong by someone more creative and intelligent than myself who found a new method of solving a difficult problem that changes the game for everyone. That said, I'd gladly wager a lot of money against it.
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  #4  
Old 08-11-2021, 03:06 PM
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I'd be a poor data scientist if I didn't also point out this this is just my opinion. I could be wrong, and if so, it wouldn't be the first time I was proven wrong by someone more creative and intelligent than myself who found a new method of solving a difficult problem that changes the game for everyone. That said, I'd gladly wager a lot of money against it.
Well, the GenaMint guy has posted here, let's see if he has a rebuttal. I'm very impressed though with the force of your arguments and the clarity with which you made them.
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My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at
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He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.

Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 08-11-2021 at 03:09 PM.
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  #5  
Old 08-11-2021, 04:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Snowman View Post
I'd be a poor data scientist if I didn't also point out this this is just my opinion. I could be wrong, and if so, it wouldn't be the first time I was proven wrong by someone more creative and intelligent than myself who found a new method of solving a difficult problem that changes the game for everyone. That said, I'd gladly wager a lot of money against it.
I think you are right. It technically can be done but the insane cost and resources to develop are not worth the ROI like Self Driving cars.
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  #6  
Old 08-11-2021, 04:32 PM
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I think you are right. It technically can be done but the insane cost and resources to develop are not worth the ROI like Self Driving cars.
Yes, you could definitely write algorithms that could assign grades to cards and detect alterations. I just don't think the output of such models would be even remotely accurate enough to be all that helpful or useful in the real world. Would be happy to engage in a discussion with the genamint guys if they wanted to offer a rebuttal though. Also worth noting is that there are other ML approaches that could be used, but they'd all be subject to the same challenges.

There's a reason why PSA isn't currently using this technology to grade cards though despite having made a significant investment in it several months ago.

My suspicion is that they're simply taking scans in high def and with other light spectrums like UV and writing software to detect card stock that glows in blacklight, and that fingerprints cards and runs them against their database of existing cards to see if they have a match. Then those cards can be flagged for further investigation by the grading team. But this isn't machine learning, and it's certainly not "AI". I suspect they're just being rather liberal with the term "AI grading" because it's a big buzzword these days and it sounds good in a marketing campaign.
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  #7  
Old 08-11-2021, 04:53 PM
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I nominate Snowman to be the Official AI Representative of Net54baseball Forum!!!

Anyone want to 2nd the nomination
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/144250058@N05/

Looking for
1920 Heading Home Ruth Cards
1917-20 Felix Mendelssohn Babe Ruth
1921 Frederick Foto Ruth
Joe Jackson Cards 1916 Advertising Backs
1910 Old Mills Joe Jackson
1914 Boston Garter Joe Jackson
1915 Cracker Jack Joe Jackson
1911 Pinkerton Joe Jackson
Shoeless Joe Jackson Autograph
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  #8  
Old 08-17-2021, 06:48 AM
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Default WOW! Thank you snowman

I was guilty of loving and getting excited about the concept so much that I hadn't taken the time to understand it (nor would I have known even where to begin if I wanted to). Your explanation was an incredible, sad and necessary reality check. I suppose we'll see where things go from here.
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  #9  
Old 08-17-2021, 10:06 AM
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Delete

Last edited by Case12; 08-17-2021 at 11:20 AM.
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  #10  
Old 08-18-2021, 06:15 PM
doug.goodman doug.goodman is offline
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Originally Posted by mrreality68 View Post
I nominate Snowman to be the Official AI Representative of Net54baseball Forum!!!

Anyone want to 2nd the nomination
Second.
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  #11  
Old 08-11-2021, 04:51 PM
BobC BobC is offline
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Originally Posted by Snowman View Post
I'd be a poor data scientist if I didn't also point out this this is just my opinion. I could be wrong, and if so, it wouldn't be the first time I was proven wrong by someone more creative and intelligent than myself who found a new method of solving a difficult problem that changes the game for everyone. That said, I'd gladly wager a lot of money against it.
Agree with you. As you pointed out in your detailed narrative, there will always be a need for human involvement and input in regards to AI and ML, and that is the biggest problem with just turning everything over to machines and computers. The next generations don't bother learning about the actual details of how to do things without the machines/computers, so when something happens and you can't use them, the younger generations may not have the ability to maintain or fix things going forward because they've learned to just let the computers/machines do everything. As more and more baby boomers retire every day, we are losing experience and knowledge in many areas that the younger people aren't taking up. So say they do end up using AI/ML to eventually grade cards, after some time all the experienced human card graders who had been helping to maintain those automated gradings systems will have retired or passed. So what happens then if problems or issues occur requiring more human involvement, and there aren't really any experienced graders around?

And this is for everything when it comes to the younger generations, not just the grading of cards by machines. Just think how many times you've gone to a store and given a young cashier money, and if it wasn't for the register doing the calculation for them, they can't really figure out the proper change.

Last edited by BobC; 08-11-2021 at 04:52 PM.
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