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#1
05-26-2021, 10:42 AM
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Ken Goldin Video on State of the Hobby
Interesting video to watch - https://www.instagram.com/tv/CPUgCP5...cc9FXStlTjfNRE
Cliff's Notes: Tons of new money has come into the hobby ... and tons more new money will continue to come into the hobby.
__________________
Tanner Jones - Author, Confessions of a Baseball Card Addict - Available on Amazon www.TanManBaseballFan.com 
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#3
05-26-2021, 11:00 AM
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Kudos for Ken in running a wildly successful auction house. One I have purchased from and consigned to. Clearly leading the charge in the market.
But asking a guy who runs the leading auction house how the market is faring is a bit like emails I get from real estate agents. Things are always amazing, it's always the time to buy, it's always the time to sell, and even when things are clearly in the shitter, it's REALLY the time to buy or sell. In fact, probably never been a better time. Last edited by Snapolit1; 05-26-2021 at 11:00 AM.
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#5
05-26-2021, 11:20 AM
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The state of the hobby is reflected in my collection because that's the only hobby action I care about.
For the record, my collection continues to grow because of my own interest in it and not anyone else's. Last edited by packs; 05-26-2021 at 11:20 AM.
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#6
05-26-2021, 11:43 AM
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I'll put his predictions on the shelf next to Dow 36,000, which in 1999 predicted the DJIA would reach 36,000 by 2002. It fell to 7,300 that year, and even its all-time high of 35,000 is still short of the mark.
__________________
Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %)
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#7
05-26-2021, 12:06 PM
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I'm still waiting for my Don West Baseball Extravaganza Blowout purchase from the 1990's to regain it's value...
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#8
05-26-2021, 12:28 PM
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Eerily the same..people and hype
__________________
"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors
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#9
05-26-2021, 01:31 PM
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Ken is articulate and enthusiastic and might be one of those guys who could sell sand to a beach but I wouldn't take it as gospel.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 05-26-2021 at 01:33 PM.
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#10
05-27-2021, 10:27 AM
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This is a nice video that Ken uploaded, however, he is making a mistake by using his past experiences in order to predict the future of the hobby. He states that he has been in the hobby since 1978 and how he has seen the market crash around ten times. He talks about the stock market crash, the subprime mortgage crisis, etc. However, we're dealing with a completely different animal here. For the first time ever, millions and millions of people around the globe were stuck at home and were not allowed to do anything. No travel, no restaurants, no strip clubs - nothing. Never before in my life have I seen $2,000 cards go up to $60,000 US in a few months. I don't care what any of these athletes will do in the future or whose records they will break or who will have a documentary made about him. If you're somebody who is buying cards at these absurd prices, then you are going to get nailed, period.
__________________
Successful transactions on Net54: Peter_Spaeth, rustywilly, esehombre, scooter729, NiceDocter, Mishu2nite, wolf441, jdeptula, mckinneyj and more!
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#11
05-27-2021, 10:29 AM
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lol!
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#12
05-27-2021, 11:03 AM
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__________________
( h @ $ e A n + l e y
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#13
05-27-2021, 03:25 PM
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The more things change...
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 05-27-2021 at 03:26 PM.
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#14
06-16-2021, 07:53 PM
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Here's the state of the hobby.
https://www.ebay.com/itm/22449097676...p2047675.l2557 Compare to two on Jan. 31 in Goldin at 738K each. Only a drop of 557K or whatever. Let's spin this one, shall we? Or did we (some of we) just get fooled yet again by sales talk, manipulation, and fraud?
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 06-16-2021 at 08:15 PM.
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#15
06-16-2021, 08:14 PM
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They couldn't even shill it higher!
__________________
"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors
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#16
06-16-2021, 08:17 PM
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Quote:
And my guess is these will come down even more.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 06-16-2021 at 08:23 PM.
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#17
06-16-2021, 08:31 PM
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Last edited by mechanicalman; 06-16-2021 at 08:32 PM.
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#18
06-16-2021, 08:34 PM
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God D@mn! I'd hate to be one of the two that paid 738K in Jan. right now. .
__________________
I'm always looking for t206's with purple numbers stamped on the back like the one in my avatar. The Great T206 Back Stamp Project: Click Here My Online Trading Site: Click Here Member of OBC (Old Baseball Cards), the longest running on-line collecting club www.oldbaseball.com My Humble Blog: Click Here
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#19
06-16-2021, 08:36 PM
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Quote:
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 06-16-2021 at 08:37 PM.
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#20
06-16-2021, 08:37 PM
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#21
06-16-2021, 08:40 PM
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__________________
I'm always looking for t206's with purple numbers stamped on the back like the one in my avatar. The Great T206 Back Stamp Project: Click Here My Online Trading Site: Click Here Member of OBC (Old Baseball Cards), the longest running on-line collecting club www.oldbaseball.com My Humble Blog: Click Here
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#22
06-16-2021, 08:43 PM
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I am suggesting your reaction to feel badly for the winner or winners may be wrong.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#23
06-16-2021, 09:00 PM
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You said you'd like to have been one of the buyers so I was just trying to find out why.
It's true I may be wrong in feeling bad for the buyers, but I still do and think they got screwed. .
__________________
I'm always looking for t206's with purple numbers stamped on the back like the one in my avatar. The Great T206 Back Stamp Project: Click Here My Online Trading Site: Click Here Member of OBC (Old Baseball Cards), the longest running on-line collecting club www.oldbaseball.com My Humble Blog: Click Here
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#24
06-16-2021, 09:10 PM
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Quote:
I could be wrong too, but I guess they made out just fine.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt. Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 06-16-2021 at 09:12 PM.
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#25
06-17-2021, 06:46 AM
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Yup
Quote:
Current PSA 10 population = 318 Current PSA 9 population = 2787 Total current PSA population = 21,791 The highest sale as of January 2020 (1.5 years ago) was under 40K There have been 61 PSA 10 sales (according to PSA auction database) since January 2020 (I did not look for repeat sales on the same certs) There would in theory need to be 319 people willing to pay "market" price to maintain a particular value - I suspect we will see this card come down considerably more.
__________________
I have been a Net 54 member since 2009 and have an Ebay store since 1998 https://www.ebay.com/usr/favorite_things Cards for sale: https://www.flickr.com/photos/185900663@N07/albums I am actively buying and selling vintage sports cards graded and raw. Feedback as a buyer: https://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=297262 I am accepting select private consignments of quality vintage cards (raw or graded) and collecting "want" lists for higher end ($1K+) vintage cards.
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#26
06-17-2021, 07:19 AM
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Howard yeah it's going to keep falling towards its "natural" level I think. A lot of folks out there who drastically overpaid, I think, believing the world was somehow very different now. We've seen this film before.
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#27
06-17-2021, 07:35 AM
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in talking to long time hobby friend(s) the last year or so while watching this crazy run up on many cards...the fleer jordan rookie was the one card mentioned the most as so common the prices would most definitely come plummeting back to earth.
With all the big $$$$$$ that has supposedly entered the hobby in the last year...investor athletes...mark cuban...the goldin tv deal, etc...it will be interesting to see what happens to the hobby in the next few years. One thing for sure...to me...is the window has closed atleast for now on the cazy easy money in the hobby...and there will be bunches of pissed off bag holders in the future who went crazy over modern...common cards.
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#28
06-17-2021, 07:52 AM
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__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#29
06-17-2021, 07:57 AM
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#30
06-17-2021, 09:03 AM
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I feel like investors in certain action houses from Dec-March may have pushed many cards to their limits hoping suckers came in and out bid them, if they didn’t they bought back the cards by splitting the cost amongst each other, often relisting them or fractionalizing them. Many bought into this Bs and believed the Uber inflated numbers as real sales remember think Rickey Henderson Rook Jordan Rookie many more. A raising tide raises all boats, only if you sold, did any of you guys get these numbers for your cards ?? Highly unlikely. It has been my belief these investors made their monies on the under cards same exact card a grade or two lower.
Last edited by Johnny630; 06-17-2021 at 09:43 AM.
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#31
06-17-2021, 09:04 AM
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#32
06-17-2021, 09:33 AM
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Quote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZBKFoeDKJo
__________________
Check out https://www.thecollectorconnection.com Always looking for consignments 717.327.8915 We sell your less expensive pre-war cards individually instead of in bulk lots to make YOU the most money possible! and Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thecollectorconnectionauctions
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#34
06-17-2021, 01:53 PM
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__________________
Successful transactions on Net54: Peter_Spaeth, rustywilly, esehombre, scooter729, NiceDocter, Mishu2nite, wolf441, jdeptula, mckinneyj and more!
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#35
06-17-2021, 02:15 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Signed 1953 Topps set: 264/274 (96.35 %)
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#36
06-17-2021, 03:16 PM
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#37
06-17-2021, 03:21 PM
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#38
06-17-2021, 03:58 PM
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__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#39
06-17-2021, 04:06 PM
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I want a Jordan but it was painfully obvious the prices weren’t sustainable. I’m pretty sure the money being spent wasn’t coming out of the pockets of long time collectors either.
They’re supposed to be making a Last Dance style series for Jeter. Enterprising hobby vets may want to start buying SPs and signed rookies now. Last edited by packs; 06-17-2021 at 04:43 PM.
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#40
06-17-2021, 04:58 PM
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Quote:
Truthfully, I don't ever recall a listing being removed so soon but maybe it's nothing?
__________________
52 Topps cards. https://www.flickr.com/photos/144160280@N05/ http://www.net54baseball.com/album.php?albumid=922
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#41
06-17-2021, 05:21 PM
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Quote:
__________________
My avatar is a sketch by my son who is an art school graduate. Some of his sketches and paintings are at https://www.jamesspaethartwork.com/ He is available to do custom drawings in graphite, charcoal and other media. He also sells some of his works as note cards/greeting cards on Etsy under JamesSpaethArt.
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#42
06-17-2021, 05:29 PM
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Golly...
He is talking about his industry... not about my hobby. He's talking about making money on cards... I like collecting cards from players of days gone by, making money on them isn't important. He wants new money buying cards, and then more new money buying cards and memorabilia, so everything is always costing more and more. And he seems to think that if he says something twice, that it's more believable. OR true. It is more believable. It is true. He is telling his truth, he told it twice. Twice! It's nuts. Pardon me while I have a sip of bottled water.
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#43
06-17-2021, 06:01 PM
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#44
06-17-2021, 06:28 PM
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Ken Godin, Ken Godin, Hey, look at dem cards dat he hodin... -
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#45
06-17-2021, 06:40 PM
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__________________
52 Topps cards. https://www.flickr.com/photos/144160280@N05/ http://www.net54baseball.com/album.php?albumid=922
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#46
06-17-2021, 06:45 PM
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I've seen that happen before, but thought that it happens when the sale is then cancelled after the fact.
The winner and the seller agree to cancel the sale for whatever reason. Then it also disappears from history. Last edited by Shoeless Moe; 06-17-2021 at 06:48 PM.
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#48
06-18-2021, 01:56 AM
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https://www.psacard.com/auctionprice...98018093662774. Also showing in VCP and the buyer's id is j***a.
__________________
( h @ $ e A n + l e y
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#49
06-18-2021, 04:40 AM
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Quote:
Claimng they were sold 'til the house of cards starts foldin'
__________________
"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors Last edited by Republicaninmass; 06-18-2021 at 05:09 AM.
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