OK T206 EXPERTS- How Many T206 survive today????

[mrvster]

we could do a T206 census....like Pete said

[Rollingstone206]

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[Eric72]

Originally Posted by Rollingstone206

I'd naturally believe HOF member cards would have a higher survival rate than commons.

Thoughts!?

And a higher submission rate than common cards, IMHO, all things (rare backs, Titus, etc.) considered.

Best regards,

Eric

[deucetwins]

Do we get a free T-shirt from Leon if we guess the correct amount or closest to it without going over?

[toppcat]

Originally Posted by Rollingstone206

The 1.6M estimate with 3,000 cards per common card in my opinion seems too high.

I'd really like to see someone talented crunch the numbers draw a total estimate based on the HOF member cards most submitted for grading. I think thats a better sample to use for calculating what is surviving. Maybe even a wakeup call on how many are in existence if the number is less than 1.6M since I'd naturally believe HOF member cards would have a higher survival rate than commons.

Thoughts!?

I actually think this number could be low. The percentage of graded vs non graded cards overall would skew heavily to non graded. There are so many T206's out there.

[Orioles1954]

There are undoubtedly several million T206 cards surviving. It was the 1987 Topps set of the age on steriods. I've handled approximately a hundred thousand.

[Rollingstone206]

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[Rollingstone206]

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[wazoo]

11

[deadballfreaK]

Originally Posted by Rollingstone206

For example how many ungraded Ty Cobb cards are out there? I just don't see there being a mass number ungraded horded away. Thats one of my rationale of using HOF member cards as samples to calculate a pure estimate on number of all T206 in existence.

My monster number is 519 plus about 30 dupes. Only about 10 graded cards in the whole lot and they are commons. As least 300 I've had for 35-40 years. I know most collectors aren't into raw cards like I am, but gotta think there are a lot of ungraded cards in collections and attics.

[JollyElm]

Take it for what it's worth, but there are a couple of issues here.

Firstly, the thought of basing it on the number of HOF'ers graded is problematic, because you have a lot of players like, in my mind, Hughie Jennings and Rube Marquard, who are generally in the category of 'forgotten.' I mean everyone knows who Ty Cobb is, but a lot of the other HOF'ers never held the same prominence to be remembered forever, as it were, so it's easy to imagine their cards were more readily thrown out over the years.

Secondly, although professional card grading is de rigueur among you serious collectors, it is still virtually unknown to the non-collecting masses. Of all the guys I grew up trading with, I can say without question that not a single one has ever gotten a card graded. And all of these guys amassed thousands upon thousands of cards. Granted, these aren't T206 collectors, just 50's - 70's Topps cards, but you see my point. I dare say most older folks who have tobacco cards squirreled away somewhere in their attics have probably never even thought of having them graded.