(2 Years Later) PSA vs. SGC - A look at the T206 set

[rats60]

Originally Posted by 1952boyntoncollector

Non mainstream sets may not fare as well but I think T206 is safe for another 20-30 years.
Everyone says 10-20 years....you wont see anyone say 5 years..by the time people think its 5 years away from a massive decline there will be a selloff ..no one will wait 5 years..they will sell now...thus everyone says 20 years+ there will be a decline until one day theres a selloff.....this happened in the late 80s...lots of people says cards in the 1980s were overproduced and in about 10-15 years there will be selloff!...

I don't think you'll ever see a massive decline in t206s. Sports will always be popular and are just growing more popular. People are collectors and they will look to collect items connected with sports. t206 is the gold standard.

Just look at the salaries players make. Next you'll be saying that Baseball players will need to find jobs in the off season soon because they will no longer be able make enough to support themselves. The genie is out of the bottle. The hobby is here to stay. Otherwise, it would have died in the 90's when all the casual fans and get rich quick guys left. The die hard collectors are keeping it going and they will always be around. When today's collectors die off, new ones will replace them.

[Tao_Moko]

The inflated price of holdered cards will eventually fall in line with their raw counterparts aside from a premium for their authentication when accurate. Set registries and favoring one company over another are trends in the hobby. T206 however is not a trend.

Three quick things:

1. Was the cost of the grade/holder/shipping factored in the calculations?
2. Isn't it possible that higher grade cards are not demanding graded prices and in turn has boosted sales of lesser grade cards that are more fairly priced?
3. I see high grade cards for sale on b/s/t and ebay constantly reduced until they're sold for the card value.

There is another collection for sale I am looking at where the cost of what it took to grade the set is the asking price. That's a bad situation to be in for anyone.

*my opinion solely based on cards from the early 1900's to about 1915. I don't collect or know anything beyond that very well.

[1952boyntoncollector]

Originally Posted by rats60

I don't think you'll ever see a massive decline in t206s. Sports will always be popular and are just growing more popular. People are collectors and they will look to collect items connected with sports. t206 is the gold standard.

Just look at the salaries players make. Next you'll be saying that Baseball players will need to find jobs in the off season soon because they will no longer be able make enough to support themselves. The genie is out of the bottle. The hobby is here to stay. Otherwise, it would have died in the 90's when all the casual fans and get rich quick guys left. The die hard collectors are keeping it going and they will always be around. When today's collectors die off, new ones will replace them.

Yes collectors in the whole will always be there. I would point to the baseball tv ratings versus hoops and football as a red flag for future decline. They are trying to quicken the sport to make for better ratings and for folks to come to the games. Maybe there will be other trends to get more people interested. Im all for that..