T206 Detective Work

[sreader3]

Originally Posted by t206hound

Ames also has: AB460, Uzit, Yellow Brown
Dougherty also has: BL460, Red Hindu

The original thought I had as I have been putting together the SC460-42 subset was that Ames and Dougherty were short printed, but within the same press runs (and sheets) and perhaps there are some undiscovered cards. But I would guess that Chris' notion that they were swapped out for each other at some point during press runs is a more probable explanation.

Another point in favor of the Ames for Dougherty swap theory is the ledger page indicating that packing of T206 cards with the Uzit brand began on March 18, 1911--very late in the process. In view of that timeline, it makes sense that Dougherty would not have been printed with that back.

[tedzan]

Hey guys, this switching of Ames and Dougherty is an interesting theory; but, I think it needs more research.

I'd like to question certain comments that have been made here regarding the 350/460 series Ames card with AB 460 & UZIT backs. I posted this thread
a month ago regarding this Ames card presenting arguments why this Ames card was not printed with AB 460, nor UZIT backs
http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=203849

Neither of these backs have been confirmed with this Ames card. AB 460's are very tough, but not that impossible that we would not have seen the Ames
card by now with an AB 460 back. Yet......

(1) I have not seen this Ames in the 8 years that I have been chasing my AB 460 sub-set.

(2) David Hall, in his quest for a Master set of T206's, has not seen an Ames/AB 460.

(3) And Scot (correct me if I am wrong here) has not seen an Ames/AB 460 card in his 100K+ T206 survey.

The recent discovery of this AMES with a SWEET CAPORAL 460/42 back suggests that this Ames was also printed with a red HINDU back. Therefore, due
to the mutually exclusive law regarding 350/460 series subjects, this Ames card will never be found with an AB 460 back......nor a UZIT.

I predict that eventually this Ames card will be discovered with a red HINDU back. Furthermore, I also think it may also be found with a BL 460 back.


TED Z
.

[atx840]

I do not think they were mutually exclusive, just that at some point during the print run the cards were swapped. It could have been half way through several brands being printed.

I also am not sure the confirmed listing on T206resource for Ames AB460 & UZIT are correct, originally I thought its possible Ames was subbed back in for Tinker but with the recent P42 Tinker find this no longer fits. Would really like to see scans of these two cards.

Recently Dougherty was found with RH, which could explain why no Ames has been found.

HA Auction

[mrvster]

an amazing thing to see the yellow/brown scrap collage chris assembled......then just look at the broadleaf 460 list....

it would be great to see a bl 460 collage!!! and put them side to side

hint....hint....hint

[sreader3]

1. Mutually exclusive. What I meant by this is that Dougherty (Arm in Air) and Ames (Arms Above) have not yet both been “seen” to date with such backs. Such mutual exclusivity is suggestive of “swapping” one for the other on a sheet, rather than, for example, printing 4 Doughertys and 1 Ames on a sheet, since in the 4/1 case one would expect that at least a few Ameses would have surfaced by now. However, mutual exclusivity to-date is not conclusive of a front-back combination’s existence or non-existence since, in the case of scarcer backs, it is possible that a copy might not have yet emerged in a 4/1 (or even a 2/1, for that matter) ratio printing.

2. Survey data. Ted is correct that Ames AB 460 was not among the 100K+ cards publicly sold during the 2008 – 2013 survey period (assuming my survey to be comprehensive). However, this is of limited probative value toward its nonexistence since several hundred scarcer front/back combinations whose existence is not disputed were not sold during that survey period. T206 Resource says this front/back combination exists and they have done a pretty good job as far as I know in requiring proof (e.g., scans) before adding front/back combinations to their checklists. Moreover, Ted’s working theory seems to rely on the existence of Ames with Red Hindu which has not been proven.

3. I agree with Ted that further study is required; however, I remain intrigued by the Ames for Dougherty swap theory since it seems to fit the presently available data.

Scot

Edited to change: "about 1,000" to "several hundred" in paragraph 2.