Ridiculous

[Runscott]

Originally Posted by bn2cardz

To be fair, though, Trout has a WAR7 of 48.5 that places him 8th all time for center fielders. A WAR7 is the best 7 WAR years for a player and he has only played 6 years so far. If he only has a 2.5 as hist best WAR from here on out he would tie DiMaggio for WAR7.

If you compare him to all the people ahead of him in Center Field Career numbers (Mays, Cobb, Mantle, Speaker, Griffey, DiMaggio, Snider) he beats all of their WAR numbers in their first 6 years of play.

He is being compared to the likes of Mattingly, Puig, Stratsburg in this thread. Trouts average yearly WAR is 8. Mattingly never even got above 7.2, Puig never had above a 5.3, Stratsburg never above a 3.5. Even Pujols has a 6 year total of 46 (average of 7.7).

Trout may still get injured and never come back but to put him in the same class of other supposed greats that didn't live up is a mistake. He would be closer to Mantle or Mays slumping after their first 6 years.

Okay, okay - I'm off to the bank to try for a $500,000 loan so I can buy what is obviously the best deal ever on the greatest baseball card in modern history.

[bnorth]

Originally Posted by Runscott

Okay, okay - I'm off to the bank to try for a $500,000 loan so I can buy what is obviously the best deal ever on the greatest baseball card in modern history.

Good luck on the loan Scott.

Now if someone could explain WAR to me with out using words like "theoretical replacement" and "approximation" I would really appreciate it. Even when doing a google search all I come up with is what sounds like a bunch of ifs and buts with no real hard stats. Even baseball reference says "There is no one way to determine WAR". Sounds like a made up stat people use to say my favorite player was better than yours if we theoretically replace this approximation.

[Runscott]

Originally Posted by bnorth

Good luck on the loan Scott.

Now if someone could explain WAR to me with out using words like "theoretical replacement" and "approximation" I would really appreciate it. Even when doing a google search all I come up with is what sounds like a bunch of ifs and buts with no real hard stats. Even baseball reference says "There is no one way to determine WAR". Sounds like a made up stat people use to say my favorite player was better than yours if we theoretically replace this approximation.

Ben, I started to do the same search, especially when he brought up the Mattingly example, but decided that it didn't really matter. Buying that Trout card isn't just a gamble that he will have a full career. It's much less than that.

[bn2cardz]

Originally Posted by Runscott

Okay, okay - I'm off to the bank to try for a $500,000 loan so I can buy what is obviously the best deal ever on the greatest baseball card in modern history.

I wasn't commenting on the price of the card, purely a reply to the idea that he may crash and burn. He may, but he still has had a very impressive 6 year stretch to start his career. I think a case could be made that it was even enough to put him in the HOF if he just has an average career from here on.

As far as the price, it may be based on the Lebron James RC that sold for $312k through Goldin Auctions. I think there are more things going for the Lebron card than this card has, but it could influence the seller's thinking.