If you were starting a team today......

nat · #1 04-16-2019, 03:29 PM

"why not just do one or the other?"

Pure ex post is boring. Just get a list of players, order it by your favorite measure of value, and then give Trout a bonus of however much your favorite projection system puts him at. (With some tweaks for possible ranges of outcome, but whatever tweaks you put on it, Trout + projection-for-the-rest-of-his-career isn't going to be a contender here.)

Pure ex ante is hard to do (since we don't, that I know of, have scouting reports for a young Hank Aaron), but also unnecessarily restrictive. We know that Hank Aaron is capable of having the career that he, in fact, had. Why discard that information?

But perhaps more to the point: it's just a game, and you can play it however you want. If you want to project players just based on their amateur scouting reports, fine, that's one way to play the game. The OP didn't give us much guidance on how this game was to be played, so I picked one way to play it that sounded like fun to me. There are lots of other ways to do it too.

Peter_Spaeth · #2 04-16-2019, 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nat

"why not just do one or the other?"

Pure ex post is boring. Just get a list of players, order it by your favorite measure of value, and then give Trout a bonus of however much your favorite projection system puts him at. (With some tweaks for possible ranges of outcome, but whatever tweaks you put on it, Trout + projection-for-the-rest-of-his-career isn't going to be a contender here.)

Pure ex ante is hard to do (since we don't, that I know of, have scouting reports for a young Hank Aaron), but also unnecessarily restrictive. We know that Hank Aaron is capable of having the career that he, in fact, had. Why discard that information?

But perhaps more to the point: it's just a game, and you can play it however you want. If you want to project players just based on their amateur scouting reports, fine, that's one way to play the game. The OP didn't give us much guidance on how this game was to be played, so I picked one way to play it that sounded like fun to me. There are lots of other ways to do it too.

OK fair enough I just wanted to make sure I wasn't missing something. I am guessing the OP was just asking who do you think the best player was in so many words, which sounds ex post. Thanks for clarifying.

JollyElm · #3 04-16-2019, 04:09 PM

I'm just waiting for someone to start regurgitating Gordon Wood, talking about ya know, the Pre-Revolutionary utopia and the capital forming effects of military mobilization.

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Icing on the Puck - Currently 32/60 Cards - Ends Today When Today Ends	frankbmd	Live Auctions - Only 2-3 open, per member, at once.	23	11-12-2017 10:33 PM
Just Listed - 1959 Pirates team signed program...ENDS TODAY	jgmp123	Ebay, Auction and other Venues Announcement- B/S/T	2	09-17-2017 03:42 PM
1992 USA Basketball Dream Team Kenner Starting Lineup	jsage	Everything Else, Football, Non-Sports etc.. B/S/T	0	06-22-2015 12:54 PM
1994 starting lineup cal Ripken jr gorgeous ends today ended	rjackson44	Live Auctions - Only 2-3 open, per member, at once.	0	08-17-2013 06:37 AM
Starting Today - T210s	alsup2311	Ebay, Auction and other Venues Announcement- B/S/T	3	08-22-2011 05:35 PM