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The bottom line in our economy, as any person even half educated knows, is there is too much money chasing too few goods. Inflation. And whomever says it's transitory is an effing idiot. When wages go down, and the govt quits giving free money to half of America, the prices will go down. And that time is never.
As for crypto, it's just more money in the mix, imo. Every thread needs a card... .
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Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com |
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#2
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I'm not sure how much Crypto has had an effect, but there is a ton of New Blood and returning collectors in the hobby. The government has also been furiously printing money. 40% of the current cash in circulation was printed in the last 12 months, inflation is through the roof, wages are stagnant, I'm not gonna claim the skies are falling but something's going to give, eventually. When that "eventually" is, who knows?
The CPI has increased by close to 7% in a 12 month period, it's the larges increase in 31 years. We're going to hit a wall.
__________________
Successful Deals With: charlietheexterminator, todeen, tonyo, Santo10fan Bocabirdman (5x), 8thEastVB, JCMTiger, Rjackson44 Republicaninmass, 73toppsmann, quinnsryche (2x), Donscards. |
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#3
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In times of inflation, holding cash is a losing proposition. Other losing strategies are money markets, many bonds, CDs, many annuities, etc. with low interest rates. IMO
So therefore, many investors will put money into a scarce asset, such as collectibles or real estate. These are more likely to increase in value with inflation, IMO. For example, the last big era of inflation (late 70's to early 80's) was a huge time for baseball cards. |
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#4
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Now this is what cracks me up about the so-called free market capitalists. We get an earful of the free market protestations when there is a discussion of taxation, regulation, public benefits, unions, etc., but when labor refuses work at the wage offered, they act like the sky is falling if the market is allowed to function. Any non-hypocritical free market capitalist understands that if the workers won't work for the wage offered, you gotta pay more and either absorb that cost or pass it on to the customers.
There's no simplistic answer to these macro-questions; we are in an unprecedented time after a massive sharp drop in output and demand due to COVID so there is going to be pent-up demand unleashed. Not to mention that we have a supply chain mess rippling across the world. A 6%-7% inflation rate pales in comparison to the 20% increases we are seeing on real estate in the larger population centers, the stock market run, the increases in hard asset value, etc. Did anyone really expect that people who've been stuck in a house for over a year and who feel prosperous are not going to go out and spend? It will pass. As for cards, might as well just enjoy the ride, use it to reallocate some of your collection away from things maybe you don't like all that much. Or just hold cash for the inevitable correction and then buy when prices drop. Because they will.
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 11-14-2021 at 11:52 AM. |
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#5
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Both have become vehicles for those subscribing to the greater fool theory.
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
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#6
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A free market capitalist would have zero, or very limited unemployment benefits that encourage people to remain out of the work force, and zero forced vaccination, which discourage some people to enter, or remain in, the work force. The current situation is the result of manipulation, not a free market. |
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#8
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Read my blog; it will make all your dreams come true. https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.com/ Or not... Last edited by Exhibitman; 11-14-2021 at 05:12 PM. |
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#9
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Quote:
![]() .
__________________
Leon Luckey www.luckeycards.com Last edited by Leon; 11-14-2021 at 05:33 PM. |
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#10
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End the free money and end forced vaccinations (I thought women, and men too, owned their own bodies) and you'll have levels of employment like we had 2 years ago, when workplace participation was at an all time high. By the way, I got vaccinated as soon as I was eligible. But I would never presume to force my neighbors, or their children, to do so. I get to live my life and they get to live theirs. |
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#11
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Sheesh. Diet and exercise probably too tough or a regimen.
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"Trolling Ebay right now" © Always looking for signed 1952 topps as well as variations and errors |
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#12
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This really does illustrate the different ways people look at life. Some want to control others for their own convenience, while others want to control their own lives and are happy to extend that courtesy to others. |
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#13
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Sciences. Last edited by glynparson; 11-14-2021 at 07:43 PM. |
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#14
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This said, I realize that wages have not risen as much as the very recent huge increase in the CPI.
__________________
Seeking very scarce/rare cards for my Sam Rice master collection, e.g., E210 York Caramel Type 2 (upgrade), 1931 W502, W504 (upgrade), W572 sepia, W573, 1922 Haffner's Bread, 1922 Keating Candy, 1922 Witmor Candy Type 2 (vertical back), 1926 Sports Co. of Am. with ad & blank backs. Also 1917 Merchants Bakery & Weil Baking cards of WaJo. Also E222 A.W.H. Caramel cards of Revelle & Ryan. |
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#15
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__________________
Successful Deals With: charlietheexterminator, todeen, tonyo, Santo10fan Bocabirdman (5x), 8thEastVB, JCMTiger, Rjackson44 Republicaninmass, 73toppsmann, quinnsryche (2x), Donscards. |
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#16
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[QUOTE=Leon;2163983]The bottom line in our economy, as any person even half educated knows, is there is too much money chasing too few goods. Inflation. And whomever says it's transitory is an effing idiot. When wages go down, and the govt quits giving free money to half of America, the prices will go down. And that time is never.
Absolutely Agree -
__________________
My Monster Progess Complete Set......: 238 / 520 : 45% HOF Cards..........: 009 / 076 : 12% Southern League.: 000 / 048 : 00% Minor League......: 055 / 086 : 41% Portrait Cards......: 077 / 180 : 43% Horizontal Cards.: 000 / 006 : 00% |
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