Would you follow through and pay? Brady's last TD

iwantitiwinit · #1 03-14-2022, 07:07 AM

This could all be a moot point. The buyer may have already paid, I don't know how quickly Leland's sends out billings. I know I wire funds immediately so that I don't have open invoices out there. If so it would then turn into a case whereby the buyer is trying to reclaim funds.

Tyruscobb · #2 03-14-2022, 08:15 AM

I would argue that the sale price ($518k) reflected the risk Brady would return. That is - the risk was already baked into the cake, and is the reason the ball "only" went for $518k and not more.

Over a decade ago, Barry Bond's final homerun ball sold for $750k. Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $750k is worth over $832k. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball sold for just 63% what the Bond's ball would fetch today.

In 1999, twenty-three years ago, a bidder paid $650k for Hank Aaron's final homerun ball (#755). Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $650k is worth over $1.1M. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball only sold for less than half what Aaron's final ball would fetch today.

Like Aaron and Bonds, Brady is a legend and among the greatest to ever play. I know baseball's number are more sacred, but I would expect the true final Brady TD ball to sell close to par with Aaron and Bond's final balls.

The sports collectible market has only increased since the Bond's ball sale. Brady is the greatest QB, and perhaps the greatest football player. The fact his final ball only sold for fractions, when compared with Aaron and Bond's final balls, tells me that the bidding reflected the risk that Brady would come back. If bidder truly thought Brady would stay retired, the ball should've fetched near $1M.

If Brady stayed retired then $518k could have been an absolute bargain. The winning bidder took a gamble that didn't pay out. If Brady stayed retired, the bidder got a tremendous deal. If Brady came back, the bidder could back out and cancel? Where is the bidder's risk? Letting the bidder off the hook gives the bidder all the upside with absolutely no downside.

Carter08 · #3 03-14-2022, 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyruscobb

I would argue that the sale price ($518k) reflected the risk Brady would return. That is - the risk was already baked into the cake, and is the reason the ball "only" went for $518k and not more.

Over a decade ago, Barry Bond's final homerun ball sold for $750k. Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $750k is worth over $832k. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball sold for just 63% what the Bond's ball would fetch today.

In 1999, twenty-three years ago, a bidder paid $650k for Hank Aaron's final homerun ball (#755). Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $650k is worth over $1.1M. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball only sold for less than half what Aaron's final ball would fetch today.

Like Aaron and Bonds, Brady is a legend and among the greatest to ever play. I know baseball's number are more sacred, but I would expect the true final Brady TD ball to sell close to par with Aaron and Bond's final balls.

The sports collectible market has only increased since the Bond's ball sale. Brady is the greatest QB, and perhaps the greatest football player. The fact his final ball only sold for fractions, when compared with Aaron and Bond's final balls, tells me that the bidding reflected the risk that Brady would come back. If bidder truly thought Brady would stay retired, the ball should've fetched near $1M.

If Brady stayed retired then $518k could have been an absolute bargain. The winning bidder took a gamble that didn't pay out. If Brady stayed retired, the bidder got a tremendous deal. If Brady came back, the bidder could back out and cancel? Where is the bidder's risk? Letting the bidder off the hook gives the bidder all the upside with absolutely no downside.

Good point. I think the description of it was written poorly though. It was too definitive in proclaiming it at his last TD ball.

Frank A · #4 03-14-2022, 08:37 AM

Actually, this will become the famous I changed my mind ball. In the long run it will have an interesting spot in sports collecting. Not sure it will be as bad as many think.

mrreality68 · #5 03-14-2022, 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frank A

Actually, this will become the famous I changed my mind ball. In the long run it will have an interesting spot in sports collecting. Not sure it will be as bad as many think.

Never thought of that could be right. Already seen several articles on this so he story/legend of that ball is growing.

Do not know if it grow to the heights of what the buyer paid

Leon · #6 03-14-2022, 08:54 AM

I am on the side of he took a risk and now has to pay the piper. But I am not a lawyer, obviously, so I don't know.
That said, now the buyer can buy the next Brady retirement ball and have bookends!
.

rjackson44 · #7 03-14-2022, 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Leon

I am on the side of he took a risk and now has to pay the piper. But I am not a lawyer, obviously, so I don't know.
That said, now the buyer can buy the next Brady retirement ball and have bookends!
.

leon lol

scmavl · #8 03-14-2022, 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyruscobb

I would argue that the sale price ($518k) reflected the risk Brady would return. That is - the risk was already baked into the cake, and is the reason the ball "only" went for $518k and not more.

Over a decade ago, Barry Bond's final homerun ball sold for $750k. Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $750k is worth over $832k. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball sold for just 63% what the Bond's ball would fetch today.

In 1999, twenty-three years ago, a bidder paid $650k for Hank Aaron's final homerun ball (#755). Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $650k is worth over $1.1M. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball only sold for less than half what Aaron's final ball would fetch today.

Like Aaron and Bonds, Brady is a legend and among the greatest to ever play. I know baseball's number are more sacred, but I would expect the true final Brady TD ball to sell close to par with Aaron and Bond's final balls.

The sports collectible market has only increased since the Bond's ball sale. Brady is the greatest QB, and perhaps the greatest football player. The fact his final ball only sold for fractions, when compared with Aaron and Bond's final balls, tells me that the bidding reflected the risk that Brady would come back. If bidder truly thought Brady would stay retired, the ball should've fetched near $1M.

If Brady stayed retired then $518k could have been an absolute bargain. The winning bidder took a gamble that didn't pay out. If Brady stayed retired, the bidder got a tremendous deal. If Brady came back, the bidder could back out and cancel? Where is the bidder's risk? Letting the bidder off the hook gives the bidder all the upside with absolutely no downside.

That's an interesting take. The only difference being Bonds & Brady are both very polarizing figures, and hated by many fans of the sport. I don't think you'd find any baseball fan who actively hated Hank Aaron (racism notwithstanding).

D. Bergin · #9 03-14-2022, 12:08 PM

It was literally hours later....right?

The chances 1/2 a million bucks was wired to Lelands before they had a chance to even send out their invoices, is pretty low I imagine.

I think it's in the bidders court to do what they want, considering the circumstances.

People renege on auction winnings all the time. If auction houses hired a team of lawyers every time somebody backed out of a sale (of which they only get a commission on, while taking the financial risk of the entire transaction), they'd all be broke right now.

I assume it's written in all auction terms for consignors, that non-paying bidders and other complications may arise, which can negate the final result of an auction lot.

keithsky · #10 03-14-2022, 12:29 PM

This won't get settled for the next 6 months until the season starts and Brady throws his first TD. What if he gets hurt during pre season camp or a game and is out for the season then it's still the last TD. Don't see anything getting settled but you know lawyers will already be involved.

conor912 · #11 03-14-2022, 12:33 PM

Maybe both the buyer and Leland�s should sue Tom Brady

D. Bergin · #12 03-14-2022, 12:36 PM

Maybe Mike Evans felt bad for throwing away that ball...and he's the winning bidder.

nat · #13 03-14-2022, 12:39 PM

Here's a fun (and surely not legally possible, but it's just for fun) way for it to play out:

Buyer pays, receives ball. Sues AH for non-performance of contract, as what he bought was Brady's last TD ball, and that's not what this is. AH says "okay, we'll refund your money and call the whole thing off", and buyer says "no" and demands specific performance. Then AH has to get Brady's final TD ball somehow. Maybe they buy all the seats by the endzone during his final game, hoping that some receiver will toss it to them.

chriskim · #14 03-14-2022, 01:15 PM

This kind of topic and incident just make me sick to the stomach since we will never know the outcome definitively. It might just get "settled peacefully" but not in full hammered price etc. who knows?

Just like what happened to that $3M pokemon case that was fake? Anyone put in jail? All parties got their money back? No one wants to talk about it because lawsuit is on-going???

Yoda · #15 03-14-2022, 11:42 AM

Maybe Tom will never throw another TD and the buyer will be doubly happy. Sure.

Republicaninmass · #16 03-14-2022, 11:44 AM

Maybe they will gave brady a come back at ages 50, 60, etc and keep throwing ONE TD...auctioned by lelands. It wont matter since people that have a lot of money dont care.

tschock · #17 03-14-2022, 12:27 PM

My non-contractually, cheeky-tongued, crystal ball is hazy but I see this playing out in 1 of 3 ways.

Buyer will renege on purchase, claim false advertising, and attempt to get money back. Auction House will claim that it was not false advertising at the time of sale. Lawyers will get involved costing both buyer and AH money. Deal will be struck, either with or without courts involved. Buyer will get the 'not final' TD ball for fraction of the cost. Brady will comeback, get injured in the first game and decide to REALLY retire. Even though lawyer fees involved, buyer makes a killing (at least relative to the original price).

OR

Buyer will renege on purchase, claim false advertising, and attempt to get money back. Auction House will claim that it was not false advertising at the time of sale. Lawyers will get involved costing both buyer and AH money. Deal will be struck, either with or without courts involved. AH will retain the ball and buyer will be refunded. Brady will comeback, get injured in the first game and decide to REALLY retire. Even though lawyer fees involved, AH makes a killing because ball now sells for $1 Million.

OR

Buyer will renege on purchase, claim false advertising, and attempt to get money back. Auction House will claim that it was not false advertising at the time of sale. Lawyers will get involved costing both buyer and AH money. Deal will be struck, either with or without courts involved. Brady will comeback and throw another touchdown pass, thus reducing the value of the original ball substantially.

It's a win-win-win situation!!!... For the lawyers. 🙂

BobC · #18 03-14-2022, 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tschock

It's a win-win-win situation!!!... For the lawyers. 🙂

That is the first, and most, 100% accurate statement in this entire thread!

darwinbulldog · #19 03-14-2022, 02:27 PM

Maybe somebody already asked this, but would it really be seen in the eyes of the court as entirely unforeseeable that Brady would come out of retirement? There were already plenty of sports pundits and other former NFL players who were saying last month that they expected he'd play next season. Wouldn't the auction have gone even higher if that hadn't been the case, or did the bidders just figure they could get out of paying if that happened?

chalupacollects · #20 03-14-2022, 09:06 PM

Would it not matter if Brady had officially signed his NFL retirement papers at all? Or if they had even been processed?

If they were signed and processed would that not signal his retirement?

And this new season be considered a second career in the eyes of the court?

Couldn't either party state that as to Brady's true intentions as a fact not available at the time of sale?

Dunno myself if any of this really matters just random thoughts as I was reading the thread.

Vintagedeputy · #21 03-15-2022, 06:02 PM

If the buyer purchased �Brady�s final TD ball� and another ball becomes that final TD ball, hadn�t the buyer simply prepaid for the purchase of whatever ball becomes the final one, or is he tied to this specific ball? Which rules, the item or the description of the item?

Here�s another angle - if I buy a 3000th hit ball, and Elias credits the player with a previously unknown hit, do I now have 3001?

Snowman · #22 03-16-2022, 08:13 AM

This thread is hilarious, watching all the lawyers arguing back and forth, often in bad faith, as one would expect.

I've got good money that says the buyer doesn't pay for it, Leland's says something along the lines of "ya, we didn't expect you to", and no lawyers ever even get involved. Anyone care to place a wager?

Aquarian Sports Cards · #23 03-16-2022, 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman

This thread is hilarious, watching all the lawyers arguing back and forth, often in bad faith, as one would expect.

I've got good money that says the buyer doesn't pay for it, Leland's says something along the lines of "ya, we didn't expect you to", and no lawyers ever even get involved. Anyone care to place a wager?

I think it's more in the nature of an academic discussion. I can't see Leland's fighting this one out, so I basically agree with you.

BobC · #24 03-16-2022, 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aquarian Sports Cards

I think it's more in the nature of an academic discussion. I can't see Leland's fighting this one out, so I basically agree with you.

Scott,

You're in the auction business also, and thus know better than most the position Leland's is in. Everyone seems to keep talking about this being between Leland's and the auction winner, but what about the consigner? Your consigners enter into a consignment agreement with you, just as I'm assuming Leland's does with their consigners. You technically work for your consigners. So how does a typical AH consignment agreement in the case of a winner bidder that refuses to pay, for whatever reason, work? Does an AH have the ability to just unilaterally decide to cancel the auction with no input or say on the part of the consigner? And if so, is that because it is specifically written into the consignment agreement to protect an AH?

I can fully understand just canceling auctions in cases where someone backs out on paying just a few hundreds/thousands of dollars. The time, effort, and potential legal expense and other costs to go after such a winning bidder can make it totally senseless as you'll end up likely spending more than you'd get if the winner just paid you. But now we're talking $500K, and the further potential loss from a possible change to the football's significance. So if the AH refuses to go after the winning bidder on behalf of the consigner, can the consigner just step in then and go after the reneging auction winner themselves?

Or what about the consigner suing the AH for refusing to go after the auction winner on their behalf then?

According to some attorneys on here, the auction description may be a factor in letting the winning bidder off the hook from going through with the transaction. And assuming it was the AH that was responsible for writing the description, I could understand that maybe giving the consigner even more cause to go after the AH. In which case the consigner could possibly have cause to sue an AH for being harmed by the AH's mistakes as well. Heck, I could even see an attorney for an auction winner in a case like this one with Brady's football, prevailing over an AH because of the item's description, and then immediately turning around and contacting the consigner to offer to do the same for them against the AH. Probably wouldn't be the first time something like that may have happened either.

Will be interested to hear your responses from an AH viewpoint.

Oh, and as for agreeing with others that this thread is possibly just an academic discussion, I would definitely think not. If nothing else, it will help to educate members as to potential issues and problems that may occur were they to sell through an AH. And by examining and discussing the causes of these issues, and how they may end up being resolved, it may also let people better know what questions to ask and what things to look for in an AH's consignment and other agreements. That way a consigner can make a more educated choice in which AH they end up choosing, and hopefully never get stuck in the middle of a situation like the consigner of this Brady football apparently finds themselves in now.

Snowman · #25 03-16-2022, 04:58 PM

I'm curious about how people view a similar topic, but from a different perspective. There were a lot of Kobe Bryant cards that were instantly snatched up from ebay a mere seconds after the news broke about his death. Especially auto cards. Due to the limitations of eBay's selling platform, the sellers couldn't even hand logged in to change the price in time even if they wanted to. If these cards were sitting in display cases at a card shop, there's zero chance that the owner of the shop would have honored those sticker prices after the news broke. But what about on ebay? Should the seller who listed a Kobe auto card for $5k be obligated to proceed with the sale after it instantly quadrupled in value after his death? I say no.

Note, this is quite different than canceling a sale after a player wins the super bowl, MVP, or something similar where everyone knows the big game or vote is coming up.

And no, the odds of death are not "baked in" to the market at any given moment for a player of Kobe's age, unlike with Willie Mays where everyone knows he is in his 90s and is the oldest living HOFer.

Peter_Spaeth · #26 03-16-2022, 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman

I'm curious about how people view a similar topic, but from a different perspective. There were a lot of Kobe Bryant cards that were instantly snatched up from ebay a mere seconds after the news broke about his death. Especially auto cards. Due to the limitations of eBay's selling platform, the sellers couldn't even hand logged in to change the price in time even if they wanted to. If these cards were sitting in display cases at a card shop, there's zero chance that the owner of the shop would have honored those sticker prices after the news broke. But what about on ebay? Should the seller who listed a Kobe auto card for $5k be obligated to proceed with the sale after it instantly quadrupled in value after his death? I say no.

Note, this is quite different than canceling a sale after a player wins the super bowl, MVP, or something similar where everyone knows the big game or vote is coming up.

And no, the odds of death are not "baked in" to the market at any given moment for a player of Kobe's age, unlike with Willie Mays where everyone knows he is in his 90s and is the oldest living HOFer.

To me it would be fair to let the seller off the hook due to the changed and unpredictable circumstance.

Aquarian Sports Cards · #27 03-16-2022, 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BobC

Oh, and as for agreeing with others that this thread is possibly just an academic discussion, I would definitely think not. If nothing else, it will help to educate members as to potential issues and problems that may occur were they to sell through an AH. And by examining and discussing the causes of these issues, and how they may end up being resolved, it may also let people better know what questions to ask and what things to look for in an AH's consignment and other agreements. That way a consigner can make a more educated choice in which AH they end up choosing, and hopefully never get stuck in the middle of a situation like the consigner of this Brady football apparently finds themselves in now.

Will answer your other questions, but this made me laugh out loud. You practically defined "academic discussion" while maintaining this isn't one.

BobC · #28 03-16-2022, 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aquarian Sports Cards

Will answer your other questions, but this made me laugh out loud. You practically defined "academic discussion" while maintaining this isn't one.

Then we may have different definitions/understandings of what on academic discussion is or should be. I've always thought of an academic discussion as one where there is no specific goal or result to come from the discussions, and that those involved are participating and talking merely for the sake of talking and for passing the time or entertainment purposes, more or less.

I thought it was fairly clear in my engaging in this discussion that, among other things, I'd like to find out the reasons why this potential legal issue arose, and how the courts may view and act upon it, so as to better ascertain what to look out for in the future should I seek the services of an AH, and to try to not let myself ever fall into a situation like the consigner of the Brady football now looks to be in. I also mentioned how my questions and their responses could then help educate others on here to better know what to look for and ask about should they look to engage and consign with an AH at some point in the future as well. I would think those are very specific goals/results that I was looking for, and thus not making this simply a complete academic discussion, at least not to me. My apologies if that was not clear and evident before.

Looking forward to your responses and getting more insight from the AH side of the issue. And you never know, questions and discussions like this may just prompt you to review your own company's contracts and agreements, and get you thinking about some possible changes you may need/want to make to them. If there's one thing I've learned in all my years of dealing with people and businesses, things constantly change, and you need to review, and possibly update/change what and how you do those things every so often, as a result.

Aquarian Sports Cards · #29 03-16-2022, 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BobC

Scott,

You're in the auction business also, and thus know better than most the position Leland's is in. Everyone seems to keep talking about this being between Leland's and the auction winner, but what about the consigner? Your consigners enter into a consignment agreement with you, just as I'm assuming Leland's does with their consigners. You technically work for your consigners. So how does a typical AH consignment agreement in the case of a winner bidder that refuses to pay, for whatever reason, work? Does an AH have the ability to just unilaterally decide to cancel the auction with no input or say on the part of the consigner? And if so, is that because it is specifically written into the consignment agreement to protect an AH?

I can fully understand just canceling auctions in cases where someone backs out on paying just a few hundreds/thousands of dollars. The time, effort, and potential legal expense and other costs to go after such a winning bidder can make it totally senseless as you'll end up likely spending more than you'd get if the winner just paid you. But now we're talking $500K, and the further potential loss from a possible change to the football's significance. So if the AH refuses to go after the winning bidder on behalf of the consigner, can the consigner just step in then and go after the reneging auction winner themselves?

Or what about the consigner suing the AH for refusing to go after the auction winner on their behalf then?

According to some attorneys on here, the auction description may be a factor in letting the winning bidder off the hook from going through with the transaction. And assuming it was the AH that was responsible for writing the description, I could understand that maybe giving the consigner even more cause to go after the AH. In which case the consigner could possibly have cause to sue an AH for being harmed by the AH's mistakes as well. Heck, I could even see an attorney for an auction winner in a case like this one with Brady's football, prevailing over an AH because of the item's description, and then immediately turning around and contacting the consigner to offer to do the same for them against the AH. Probably wouldn't be the first time something like that may have happened either.

Will be interested to hear your responses from an AH viewpoint.

Oh, and as for agreeing with others that this thread is possibly just an academic discussion, I would definitely think not. If nothing else, it will help to educate members as to potential issues and problems that may occur were they to sell through an AH. And by examining and discussing the causes of these issues, and how they may end up being resolved, it may also let people better know what questions to ask and what things to look for in an AH's consignment and other agreements. That way a consigner can make a more educated choice in which AH they end up choosing, and hopefully never get stuck in the middle of a situation like the consigner of this Brady football apparently finds themselves in now.

I would definitely be on the horn to the consignor the minute Brady unretired. I am somewhat picky who I work with. I have driven an entire collection back to Ohio in a 12 foot box truck at my expense because the consignor was trouble. I have had consignors think that somehow the law was going to be on the side of them enriching themselves through fraud. So while there's no guarantee I would hope my consignor would be on the understanding side. This could be tough if it was life-changing money, which, in this case it might have been. Yes my fiduciary duty is to my consignor, NOT the buyer. However fiduciary duty only extends so far. I don't have to do something illegal, or even unethical in the name of fiduciary duty.

Real world scenario for my smaller company we have three ways of dealing with no pays and they are at our discretion as outlined in the consignor agreement.

1. Pay the consignor as if the item had been paid for. We take possession and auction again in a future sale to try and be made whole. This is the approach we take almost all of the time.

2. Do not pay the consignor but place in a future auction on their behalf.

3. Return the item to the consignor.

While we've done consignments that have totaled over $500,000 our big single item is only 1/10 that amount so it's obviously not a situation we find ourselves in, yet. I think a more interesting situation that isn't currently covered by my contract is buyer pays, but then, understandably, wants his money back. What do I tell my consignor then? The only way this is addressed in our contract is if an item is returned because of authenticity issues. That isn't the case here. It's tough when there is no "bad guy" actor. Everyone will be unhappy, but oddly, that's probably how it should be in a weird case like this.

BobC · #30 03-16-2022, 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aquarian Sports Cards

I would definitely be on the horn to the consignor the minute Brady unretired. I am somewhat picky who I work with. I have driven an entire collection back to Ohio in a 12 foot box truck at my expense because the consignor was trouble. I have had consignors think that somehow the law was going to be on the side of them enriching themselves through fraud. So while there's no guarantee I would hope my consignor would be on the understanding side. This could be tough if it was life-changing money, which, in this case it might have been. Yes my fiduciary duty is to my consignor, NOT the buyer. However fiduciary duty only extends so far. I don't have to do something illegal, or even unethical in the name of fiduciary duty.

Real world scenario for my smaller company we have three ways of dealing with no pays and they are at our discretion as outlined in the consignor agreement.

1. Pay the consignor as if the item had been paid for. We take possession and auction again in a future sale to try and be made whole. This is the approach we take almost all of the time.

2. Do not pay the consignor but place in a future auction on their behalf.

3. Return the item to the consignor.

While we've done consignments that have totaled over $500,000 our big single item is only 1/10 that amount so it's obviously not a situation we find ourselves in, yet. I think a more interesting situation that isn't currently covered by my contract is buyer pays, but then, understandably, wants his money back. What do I tell my consignor then? The only way this is addressed in our contract is if an item is returned because of authenticity issues. That isn't the case here. It's tough when there is no "bad guy" actor. Everyone will be unhappy, but oddly, that's probably how it should be in a weird case like this.

Thanks for responding.

And it sounds like your terms specifically let the consignor know the decision is yours in deciding what to do if a bidder doesn't pay.

Obviously this Brady football case is one that no one likely ever thought of, but now it has happened. And the fact that attorneys could argue that the AH description was a significant part of why an auction winner could just walk away from a transaction, puts the AH in the crosshairs. Leland's may be between a rock and a hard place on this.

So Scott, you don't have to answer this if don't want to, I'll understand, but if you're in Leland's place, what do you do? For $500K you aren't going to use Option #1, at least I'd think not. The buyer and seller are okay and there's no court activity and expenses, but you're probably facing a huge loss when you go to resell the football. Option #2 would still leave the buyer happy, but the seller would be pissed as you've transferred the potential loss to them. And if your auction description was at least partly at fault, chances are the consignor sues you for either not going after the winning bidder, or for the loss in value via the subsequent sale. Either way, you end up making the seller whole, AND incurring a ton of legal expenses. And Option #3 pretty much has the same results as Option #2, except the seller takes the football and sells it through someone else, you still probably get sued by the seller to make them whole, incur a ton of legal expenses, but now you don't even get to offset what would have been your sales commission against what you may now owe the seller. And in this particular case I guess there could also be an Option #4, where you initially go after and sue the auction winner. But failing to win that case, you're still stuck having to face Option #1, #2, or #3, on top of the additional legal expenses you incurred from first trying to win the Option #4 suit. It seems like if you can afford it, and you don't expect to win in court, you actually might be best off taking Option #1 right out of the gate.

What do you think?

lowpopper · #31 03-17-2022, 12:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyruscobb

I would argue that the sale price ($518k) reflected the risk Brady would return. That is - the risk was already baked into the cake, and is the reason the ball "only" went for $518k and not more.

Over a decade ago, Barry Bond's final homerun ball sold for $750k. Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $750k is worth over $832k. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball sold for just 63% what the Bond's ball would fetch today.

In 1999, twenty-three years ago, a bidder paid $650k for Hank Aaron's final homerun ball (#755). Adjusted for inflation, in today's value, the $650k is worth over $1.1M. Thus, Brady's "final" TD ball only sold for less than half what Aaron's final ball would fetch today.

Like Aaron and Bonds, Brady is a legend and among the greatest to ever play. I know baseball's number are more sacred, but I would expect the true final Brady TD ball to sell close to par with Aaron and Bond's final balls.

The sports collectible market has only increased since the Bond's ball sale. Brady is the greatest QB, and perhaps the greatest football player. The fact his final ball only sold for fractions, when compared with Aaron and Bond's final balls, tells me that the bidding reflected the risk that Brady would come back. If bidder truly thought Brady would stay retired, the ball should've fetched near $1M.

If Brady stayed retired then $518k could have been an absolute bargain. The winning bidder took a gamble that didn't pay out. If Brady stayed retired, the bidder got a tremendous deal. If Brady came back, the bidder could back out and cancel? Where is the bidder's risk? Letting the bidder off the hook gives the bidder all the upside with absolutely no downside.

All this is valid but the final HR ball from a
current HR King just seems to carry more weight

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