Pre-War and Vintage

[lampertb]

Originally Posted by JustinD

Personally, I would be more concerned about shrink in the vintage 50s-60's as the ungraded held quantities are likely vast and those will appear at greater numbers during liquidation of estates.

Agreed. There are probably tens of millions of ungraded '66 Topps cards not yet in the market, to use an example.

[obiwan1129]

Don't discount the damage of natural disasters. There are only so many pre-war cards still around, but as we've seen with wildfires and flooding, many of those collections can be lost forever.

[packs]

This board has a large audience of pure collectors. I don't think any of us would be upset if the vintage market was flooded and prices came down. I can only hope for as much.

[Exhibitman]

https://adamstevenwarshaw.substack.c...start-the-year

According to Card Ladder, prewar it tracks was way up for 2022. Postwar vintage was down 5%.

Not a surprise. Mainstream postwar is 90% demand driven. There is plenty of it available at all times, unless you are looking for PSA 9-10 or a tough regional.

[Fred]

Originally Posted by packs

This board has a large audience of pure collectors. I don't think any of us would be upset if the vintage market was flooded and prices came down. I can only hope for as much.

Did you really type that in this thread? I'm looking forward to the day when the price of cardboard is back to being the price of cardboard and not the price of gold. We can only dream of the big 2023 vintage card price meltdown.

Ok, let's read about how/why that's not going to happen...

[packs]

Is anyone who collects T206s because they enjoy pre-war cards really going to lament the coming hoard of potentially affordable Ty Cobbs?

Or will there be a panic when Ruth Goudeys drop a thousand dollars?

Not for me. That'll be one of my finest hours.

[G1911]

Originally Posted by packs

Is anyone who collects T206s because they enjoy pre-war cards really going to lament the coming hoard of potentially affordable Ty Cobbs?

Or will there be a panic when Ruth Goudeys drop a thousand dollars?

Not for me. That'll be one of my finest hours.

+1. I doubt it happens, but a complete collapse would be awesome. I could build my sets for much cheaper. It would also mean we wouldn’t have the same 3 or 4 money threads ten times a week and would have to find something else to talk about.

[raulus]

Originally Posted by G1911

+1. I doubt it happens, but a complete collapse would be awesome. I could build my sets for much cheaper. It would also mean we wouldn’t have the same 3 or 4 money threads ten times a week and would have to find something else to talk about.

Oh, I seriously doubt that we would stop talking about it.

The conversation would merely shift to whether the market would come back in time for all of us to retire.