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Thanks, Sean. Had a look at your blog. You're clearly a domain expert and have been at this for some time.
Humbly, I was thinking about the pricing of his early cards as a option on the probability that he performs at, say, 70% of his current level for the next 8 years, or 90% for the next 4 years. If so, he's not only a Hall of Fame lock, but he's likely considered the consensus best player ever. So perhaps this is like pricing the option of buying Babe Ruth's 1914 cards (population adjusted) in 1923? Last edited by bk400; 07-29-2023 at 11:39 AM. |
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japanese, shohei ohtani |
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