True Population of Substantial Cards

glchen · #1 08-29-2024, 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NiceDocter

I think that there are still a significant number of ungraded major cards out there that would counterbalance any duplicates of submission with old labels. Many older collectors who aren�t planning on selling are holding on to �raw� cards that haven�t changed hands for decades . Hence I think almost any population number is UNDER reported and sometimes significantly so. Just my opinion�..

I agree with this also. I'd guess that for the top names, the pop reports are probably 5-10% higher than they should be due to crack/resubmit/crossovers. However, this would be counterbalances by roughly 10-15% of the same cards that are still raw in people's collections that have never been submitted before. Re-submitting now is much more expensive than in the past, so the risk/reward calculation is much different. Sure you can get a much higher price if your card grades higher, but there is also the chance that the grade could go down, and then you'd be much worse off.

sports-cards-forever · #2 11-10-2024, 04:51 PM

I agree that I think it's more likely that alot of ungraded star cards are out there than collectors cracking open grades to resubmit. It would be cool if someone came up with a global population registry which combined graded and raw cards.

steve B · #3 11-11-2024, 08:27 AM

I guess I'm in one of those moods today...

Even though I replied earlier, I saw the title and the first thing I thought of was the huge Nolan Ryan card displays from the set that was all Ryan. Like 18x24 ish versions of a few cards from the set.
They are substantial just not in the intended way.

Leon · #4 11-12-2024, 12:57 PM

+1
I was thinking the same things and approximate percentages.

Quote:

Originally Posted by glchen

I agree with this also. I'd guess that for the top names, the pop reports are probably 5-10% higher than they should be due to crack/resubmit/crossovers. However, this would be counterbalances by roughly 10-15% of the same cards that are still raw in people's collections that have never been submitted before. Re-submitting now is much more expensive than in the past, so the risk/reward calculation is much different. Sure you can get a much higher price if your card grades higher, but there is also the chance that the grade could go down, and then you'd be much worse off.

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