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  #1  
Old 01-08-2025, 07:52 PM
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Originally Posted by Gorditadogg View Post
I don't know anybody who has $1M to spend on cards that would say "What the hell, it's just another $20k in fees". (Except Ryan, apparently.)
It’s not the actual $$s. It’s all relative. If you were going to spend $120 for a card ($100 hammer plus $20bp), wouldn’t you spend $122? Are you really going to let it get away over $2?

Let’s say you were going to spend $1200 on a card ($1000 hammer and $200 BP). Wouldn’t you spend $1220 to get the card, or will you let it get away over $20?

Now $12,000 ($10,000 hammer plus $2000 BP). Are you not going to pay $12,200 to get the card?

On $120,000…. It’s $122,000. I understand it’s another $2,000 but if you were going to pay $120k I don’t think you let the card get away over another $2000.

And so on. I suppose at some point the 2% becomes large enough that it gives you pause, but I think it’s relative.

And BTW - many auction houses started charging state taxes after the Wayfair ruling in 2018. In Maryland, that resulted in 6% more cost than before; I expect that’s about average. I don’t think the implementation of state taxes had a material change in bidding habits. In fact, card prices have soared since we started paying state taxes.

Last edited by Rhotchkiss; 01-08-2025 at 07:57 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-08-2025, 08:35 PM
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A rational person would still take state taxes into account when bidding. That the market has independently soared due to other forces since 2018 doesn't speak one way or the other to that, it's an illogical observation. If hypothetically the market overall had stayed flat, hammer prices would be down because of taxes being added to the bill, at least in a world where most people bid rationally.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 01-08-2025 at 08:37 PM.
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  #3  
Old 01-08-2025, 10:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
A rational person would still take state taxes into account when bidding. That the market has independently soared due to other forces since 2018 doesn't speak one way or the other to that, it's an illogical observation. If hypothetically the market overall had stayed flat, hammer prices would be down because of taxes being added to the bill, at least in a world where most people bid rationally.
Put me down for the hypothesis that baseball card buyers participating in auctions do not bid rationally.
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Old 01-08-2025, 10:49 PM
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Put me down for the hypothesis that baseball card buyers participating in auctions do not bid rationally.
Well, undoubtedly there is some of that, especially very late at night, but I still think for the most part they do understand how their bid will translate into a final price..
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 01-08-2025 at 10:51 PM.
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  #5  
Old 01-09-2025, 10:02 AM
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
Well, undoubtedly there is some of that, especially very late at night, but I still think for the most part they do understand how their bid will translate into a final price..
I don’t disagree with that concept.

I just think that the math isn’t the most important part of the calculus.

The most important part is the jonesing and coveting.

That and the realization that all of this restraint leads to losing just about every auction, because some other bidder is willing to be less restrained.
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  #6  
Old 01-09-2025, 10:11 AM
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I don’t disagree with that concept.

I just think that the math isn’t the most important part of the calculus.

The most important part is the jonesing and coveting.

That and the realization that all of this restraint leads to losing just about every auction, because some other bidder is willing to be less restrained.
There is a difference between knowing how much you will have to pay based on your bid, and how much you are willing to pay. The debates about BP usually are about the former; as people have claimed bidders do not take it into account.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 01-09-2025 at 10:13 AM.
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  #7  
Old 01-09-2025, 10:37 AM
raulus raulus is offline
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Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth View Post
There is a difference between knowing how much you will have to pay based on your bid, and how much you are willing to pay. The debates about BP usually are about the former; as people have claimed bidders do not take it into account.
Is it possible that you’re both right?

I’m not a psychologist, but when it comes to exceeding the amount that we were willing to pay for an item, my experience is that we come up with rationalizations and ways to fool ourselves into thinking that we’re paying less than we really are. Even though we mathematically know that the BP is there, I think we sometimes choose to conveniently ignore it if it means that we can still feel good about our decision to keep bidding.
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Last edited by raulus; 01-09-2025 at 10:38 AM.
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  #8  
Old 01-08-2025, 11:00 PM
Gorditadogg Gorditadogg is offline
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Originally Posted by Rhotchkiss View Post
It’s not the actual $$s. It’s all relative. If you were going to spend $120 for a card ($100 hammer plus $20bp), wouldn’t you spend $122? Are you really going to let it get away over $2?

Let’s say you were going to spend $1200 on a card ($1000 hammer and $200 BP). Wouldn’t you spend $1220 to get the card, or will you let it get away over $20?

Now $12,000 ($10,000 hammer plus $2000 BP). Are you not going to pay $12,200 to get the card?

On $120,000…. It’s $122,000. I understand it’s another $2,000 but if you were going to pay $120k I don’t think you let the card get away over another $2000.

And so on. I suppose at some point the 2% becomes large enough that it gives you pause, but I think it’s relative.

And BTW - many auction houses started charging state taxes after the Wayfair ruling in 2018. In Maryland, that resulted in 6% more cost than before; I expect that’s about average. I don’t think the implementation of state taxes had a material change in bidding habits. In fact, card prices have soared since we started paying state taxes.
Yeah, the problem for me is that if I'm at $1200, I probably set a limit for myself of $1000 and am $200 over already. At some point you have to stop, don't you? Even if it's just another 2%.

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  #9  
Old 01-08-2025, 11:22 PM
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Sometimes, Al, you just gotta say, WTF and bid more than everyone else. beer chug.gif
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  #10  
Old 01-09-2025, 07:51 AM
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Sometimes, Al, you just gotta say, WTF and bid more than everyone else. Attachment 646549
yes! this is what the AH's hope for. And honestly...I fall into this mentality more often than not if its an item I have to have. Sometimes I'm just stupid!!!!
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  #11  
Old 01-09-2025, 07:54 AM
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yes! this is what the AH's hope for. And honestly...I fall into this mentality more often than not if its an item I have to have. Sometimes I'm just stupid!!!!
We are collectors. Sometimes we are all stupid!
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Last edited by Leon; 01-09-2025 at 10:56 AM.
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  #12  
Old 01-09-2025, 10:46 AM
Gorditadogg Gorditadogg is offline
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Sometimes, Al, you just gotta say, WTF and bid more than everyone else. Attachment 646549
You're not helping!

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