Opinions welcomed and requested on the number of t206 Cobbs in existence.

[fkw]

Ive always heard and thought a good guess is about 2,000-3,000 of ea. card out there. The "green" and "bat on" would be in the 2,000 range and the "red" and "bat off" in the 3,000 range IMO

This is not fact just a guess based on an estimate that there are about 1,000,000 T206 cards surviving today.

[drc]

I'd heard the 2000 number before.

[jbbama]

I appreciate all the ideas and speculation (that's what it is) about the Cobbs, there are no wrong answers just opinions. Thanks to all who have responded.

[sreader3]

I will guesstimate as follows:

Green = 2,500
Bat On = 3,000
Bat Off = 3,500
Red = 6,000

The starting point for this analysis is my estimate of 3,000 extant examples of a typical T206 subject. I then added a "kicker" for a presumed higher than average survival of Cobb due to his stardom, then normalized the data per the relative populations of the four Cobbs in the PSA population report.

[tedzan]

Here is an excerpt from the Red Cobb survey thread. Back in April, I was asked a similar question. This was
my best estimate....which I based on a combination of T206 surveys totaling 40,00 cards....and, consisting
of 196 Red Cobb's. Therefore, I derived from this a factor of 200:1

Excerpt......
" Furthermore, Scot Reader, in his book "Inside T206", has a chapter on the "survivability" of the T206 cards.
If I recall correctly, he estimates approx. 1 to 2 Million cards. I think Scot's estimate is a good one.
So, if we divide 1 Million T206's by 200, it yields 5,000 red Cobb's. This number might sound high; and, I am
sure I'll be challenged on this population #.....but, that's my best guess. "


Scot....it's very interesting that 2 independent minds came up with approx. the same number of Red Cobb's ?

And therefore, given these 2 coinciding estimates, I think you're right on track with your following population
numbers of the other three Cobb's.



TED Z

[drc]

Talk to James Beckett for ideas. He was a statistics professor.

[Peter_Spaeth]

If there are 5000 Red Cobbs that means only 1 in 60,000 Americans, give or take, owns one; and since many collectors own multiples the number probably gets much higher. Does this sound right?