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#9
03-23-2010, 01:48 PM
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Ted,
I have seen that estimate of 3,000 per card tossed around a bit as well. I tend to feel that it is an underestimation. Here is the basis of my reasoning.... Let's assume that our estimates of the O'Hara/Demmitt St. Louis population are relatively accurate and yield roughly 300 copies in each instance. I would almost certainly conclude that a (pick one) Demmitt-O'hara is more than ten times rarer than a random common....based simply on the fact that Polar Bear T206 pop is likely less than 10% of total T206 pop. If we assume that Jim R's scarcity order is correct (and it looks mostly right to me) Polar Bears are less common than 9 other back combos. If we were to now conclude that PB is 5% of the total population this would mean that appx. 6,000 cards per subject remain. Any thoughts? Last edited by scottglevy; 03-23-2010 at 01:49 PM. 
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