T206 Drums vs Uzits, Redux

[tedzan]

Craig

That article in 2005 is old news; and, it is not representative of the real world of T206 rare backs in 2010.

Since that article, there have been at least two DRUM finds....the most recent of which included 43 T206's.
As of last count, there are 132 confirmed DRUM cards; and, only 50 confirmed UZIT cards. How many of
these were printed....we have no way of knowing ? However, my argument for UZIT cards being tougher
than DRUM cards is twofold......

(1) With a ratio of 2.6 to 1 (confirmed DRUM's / confirmed UZIT's), there is a higher probability that you
are going to find a DRUM before you will find a UZIT.

(2) DRUM's were printed in the Fall/Winter of 1910. They include T206 subjects from the 350 series and
the 350/460 series (from a possible 270 subjects). While UZIT's were printed in the Spring of 1911 (from
a possible 103 subjects). I'd venture to say that the UZIT press runs were very limited (short-printed), as
the T206 era was at its end. American Litho. started printing it's Gold-Bordered sets by the Spring of 1911.

Perhaps we will eventually find a few more of these 2 rare backs. Whatever, it appears that approx. 1/2 of
the possible T206 subjects in each case were printed, and the other 1/2 are either DRUM no-prints or UZIT
no-prints.


TED Z

[Abravefan11]

Ted -

I think your second point is a great one and probably the true indicator as to which of these two backs could be more scarce.

With that said one large find of either as in the case of the recent Drum find and the actual known examples ratio can shift dramatically.

Given your comparison on the number of available subjects I think the odds are in the favor of another large Drum find before an Uzit one.