ebay finds that PWCC engaged in shill bidding?

Mark17 · #1 08-19-2021, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

I hope to push up the price so as to unload some of mine, so I bid 125, hoping a "legitimate" buyer thinks it's a real bid and that the card is going up, and tops me at 130. Odds are I will hook at least one such buyer. I do this gradually over time with 5 more examples and eventually the price of the card gets to 200. I would call that a manipulated price, not a new true one. And I haven't won any.

An asset is "worth" what someone will pay. If a store owner, or a guy at a show, or a buy it now on ebay is asking $130 and someone is willing to pay it, there's your comp. If you bid on a card so as to push it into range where someone will have to pay $130, and someone does, then that is a comp. The thoughts going through the minds of the store owner, the table holder at the show, the ebay seller, or the 2nd highest bidder don't matter.

Peter_Spaeth · #2 08-19-2021, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark17

An asset is "worth" what someone will pay. If a store owner, or a guy at a show, or a buy it now on ebay is asking $130 and someone is willing to pay it, there's your comp. If you bid on a card so as to push it into range where someone will have to pay $130, and someone does, then that is a comp. The thoughts going through the minds of the store owner, the table holder at the show, the ebay seller, or the 2nd highest bidder don't matter.

So you don't recognize market manipulation? OK, we can disagree. Shill bidding shouldn't bother you then, as long as someone really paid at the end of the day.

Mark17 · #3 08-19-2021, 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

So you don't recognize market manipulation? OK, we can disagree. Shill bidding shouldn't bother you then, as long as someone really paid at the end of the day.

Please, Peter, don't put words in my mouth. I do not think shill bidding is okay.

If a card has been selling in the $120 range and someone lists it in their store/convention table/ebay/net 54 marketplace for $130, are they also "manipulating the market" by trying to push the price up? In a rising market, many dealers do raise their prices. Is it against the Peter Principle for them to try to get more for their cards by raising their ask prices?

Bottom line, if people are paying $130 for a card, that is what it is "worth."

Peter_Spaeth · #4 08-19-2021, 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark17

Please, Peter, don't put words in my mouth. I do not think shill bidding is okay.

If a card has been selling in the $120 range and someone lists it in their store/convention table/ebay/net 54 marketplace for $130, are they also "manipulating the market" by trying to push the price up? In a rising market, many dealers do raise their prices. Is it against the Peter Principle for them to try to get more for their cards by raising their ask prices?

Bottom line, if people are paying $130 for a card, that is what it is "worth."

That's circular reasoning, no? True in every single case, and therefore by definition excludes the notion of a manipulated price.
And your example is very different from mine and you know it, in mine people are putting in bids hoping they don't win, for the purpose of driving up the price. Classic market manipulation in my opinion. Making bidders think someone else really wants the card at a higher price. Whether it's OK or not is a different question of course, my only point is under those circumstances I would question whether the final price is manipulated or not as opposed to reflecting some concept of a market price.

Mark17 · #5 08-19-2021, 07:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

That's circular reasoning, no?
And your example is very different from mine and you know it, in mine people are putting in bids hoping they don't win, for the purpose of driving up the price. Classic market manipulation in my opinion. Making bidders think someone else really wants the card at a higher price.

If a card is at auction and a shill bidder bids $120, the message he's sending is that the card is worth $120 to him. He is hoping someone will think it is worth $130, but he is not telling people that.

However, if a dealer lists a card at $130, he is saying that is the price it will take to acquire it from him, implying that is its value.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

Whether it's OK or not is a different question of course, my only point is under those circumstances I would question whether the final price is manipulated or not.

Shill bidding is not an acceptable tactic. But a shill bidder is hoping to get someone to pay $130 for that card. A dealer revising his ebay listing, jacking their ask price up to $130 is trying to get someone to pay $130 for the card. Either way, if someone is looking at that card and willingly decides he will pay $130 for it, then there you have it.

Examining the motivation of an under bidder in an auction doesn't change the reality that the card voluntarily transacted at $130.

Peter_Spaeth · #6 08-19-2021, 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark17

If a card is at auction and a shill bidder bids $120, the message he's sending is that the card is worth $120 to him. He is hoping someone will think it is worth $130, but he is not telling people that.

However, if a dealer lists a card at $130, he is saying that is the price it will take to acquire it from him, implying that is its value.

Shill bidding is not an acceptable tactic. But a shill bidder is hoping to get someone to pay $130 for that card. A dealer revising his ebay listing, jacking their ask price up to $130 is trying to get someone to pay $130 for the card. Either way, if someone is looking at that card and willingly decides he will pay $130 for it, then there you have it.

Examining the motivation of an under bidder in an auction doesn't change the reality that the card voluntarily transacted at $130.

The difference to me is that inflated fixed prices are rampant, people tend to ignore them, whereas in the context of an auction, bidders (rightly or wrongly) assume all bids are made in good faith and not for the purpose of sending a false signal to the market.

So if I saw a BIN of 130 I would probably think oh eff the seller, whereas in an auction if I saw the current bid at 120 I might well think oh the price of this card is going up I guess I should go to 130.

Mark17 · #7 08-19-2021, 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth

So if I saw a BIN of 130 I would probably think oh eff the seller, whereas in an auction if I saw the current bid at 120 I might well think oh the price of this card is going up I guess I should go to 130.

In that scenario, it sounds like you are manipulating yourself.

Sometimes I buy stuff, sometimes I win stuff at auction. I know what I am willing to pay for something either way, and while I seldom or never have bidders' remorse for spending too much, I frequently win stuff for less than I had decided I would be willing to pay.

Maybe it comes down to fiscal discipline?

Snowman · #8 08-19-2021, 07:49 PM

I changed my mind. I don't care if you know my name. It's Travis, but most people call me TJ. I just updated my profile with the cryptic version of my name so nobody thinks I'm some shill or something like that. I don't work in the sports card industry and never have. I'm just a random collector like most everyone else.

Arazi4442 · #9 08-19-2021, 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman

I changed my mind. I don't care if you know my name. It's Travis, but most people call me TJ. I just updated my profile with the cryptic version of my name so nobody thinks I'm some shill or something like that. I don't work in the sports card industry and never have. I'm just a random collector like most everyone else.

So your name is TJ Troll?

bnorth · #10 08-19-2021, 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arazi4442

So your name is TJ Troll?

LOL, That is what I seen at first also. Here I thought his name started with a M.

Snowman · #11 08-19-2021, 09:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arazi4442

So your name is TJ Troll?

LOL. No. That's an 'a' and an 'i'... Trail, as in hiking trail.

Arazi4442 · #12 08-20-2021, 09:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman

LOL. No. That's an 'a' and an 'i'... Trail, as in hiking trail.

What a shame, that would have been fantastic.

Welcome to the board!

Johnny630 · #13 08-20-2021, 09:25 AM

Will they continue to run up cards on their own auction site ?

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